Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Fresno State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (-22)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-4) are en route to Bulldog Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023 where they will attempt to beat the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-0). Nevada opens this contest as 22-point dogs. The total comes in at 53.5.

The Nevada Wolf Pack come into this matchup with a record of 0-4 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Wolf Pack faced the Texas State Bobcats and ended up losing by a score of 35-24. Brendon Lewis connected on 21/32 with 151 yards passing. He had a QB rate of 99 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Brendon Lewis was the leader on the ground for the Wolf Pack with 12 attempts for 89 yds (7.4 yards per attempt). The Nevada Wolf Pack ended up rushing 37 different times and recorded 159 yards, which earned them an average of 4.3 yards per carry. For the game, they tallied 70 plays which converted into 353 yds. Nevada surrendered 26 completions on 32 attempts for 298 yards, and a completion rate of 81.3%. Against the run, the Wolf Pack conceded 264 yards on 34 tries, which is an average of 7.8 yards per run surrendered.

When talking about putting points on the board, the Nevada Wolf Pack are sitting at 17.0 points per game. As a unit they're holding an average of 119.0 yards on the ground ranking this team at 105th in college football. The Wolf Pack have tallied 1,242 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Nevada has compiled 1 touchdown through the air and 6 rushing touchdowns. Nevada has accrued 60 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 13 penalties for 129 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 7 different times.

The Wolf Pack are ranked 131st in the country when it comes to team defense, allowing 41.3 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.8 yards per rush and 193.0 rushing yards per contest on the season. Overall, they have given up 772 rushing yards through 4 outings. Regarding passing yardage, the Wolf Pack are giving up 1,362 yds which ranks them 132nd in the country. They have allowed 340.5 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 76.5%. During this campaign, they have surrendered 533.5 yards/outing which ranks them 132nd in college football. They have allowed 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Bulldogs step onto the field holding a record of 4-0 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 53-10 against the Kent State Golden Flashes. Malik Sherrod ran the football 10 times for 71 yds, walking away from the contest with 7.1 yards per attempt for Fresno State. Mikey Keene (4 touchdowns) finished the game with 325 yds on 24/31 passing while his quarterback rating was 208.1. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 10.5. Fresno State gave up 37 rushing attempts for 129 yards (3.5 yds per rush). The Bulldogs passing defense conceded a completion rate of 53.3%, relinquishing 102 yds on 8 out of 15 through the air. The Bulldogs finished with 513 yards while running 67 plays (7.7 yards per play). Fresno State ran the football for 4.3 yards per tote, totaling 143 yards on 33 attempts.

The Fresno State Bulldogs average 428.8 yards/contest, which has them sitting 45th in the country. The Fresno State offense has totaled 196 yards of penalties on 26 infractions, which is good for 46th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They average 115.0 rushing yards per game and have run for 460 yards for the season. They have tossed 2 picks while losing 0 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 101 first downs. When looking at the points being put on the board, the Bulldogs are ranked 21st in the country holding an average of 38.8 PPG. For the year so far, the Bulldogs currently have a total of 1,255 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 313.8 passing yards per outing, ranking them 14th in D-1.

Fresno State has allowed the opposition a total of 413 rushing yards (103.3 yards/game) in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air in addition to 194.3 yards/game, which has them in 40th in Division 1. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles and 6 interceptions on the season. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 260 plays, which is good for 58th in college football. The Bulldogs are conceding 19.0 PPG, ranking them 40th in Division 1. In total, they have relinquished 76 points.

Who will win tonight's Wolf Pack/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -22

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