Navy Midshipmen vs Memphis Tigers Prediction, 9/14/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Navy Midshipmen vs Memphis Tigers

Date: Thursday, September 14, 2023

Location: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis, TN

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-15)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Navy Midshipmen (1-1) are on their way to Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Thursday, September 14, 2023 where they will compete against the Memphis Tigers (2-0). Memphis opens this game as 15-point favorites. The total has been set at 47.5.

The Navy Midshipmen head into this game 1-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Midshipmen took the field against the Wagner Seahawks and took home the win by a score of 24-0. Tai Lavatai connected on 8/13 with 161 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 191 and ended the game without throwing a pick. Eli Heidenreich was the best rusher for the Midshipmen with 4 carries for 66 yds (16.5 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they tallied 62 plays which gave them 408 yards. The Navy Midshipmen ended up running the ball 44 different times and totaled 245 yds, which earned them an average of 5.6 yards per attempt. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Midshipmen conceded 84 yds on 32 attempts, which is 2.6 yards per run surrendered. Navy allowed 18 pass completions on 35 attempts for a total of 143 yards, and a completion percentage of 51.4%.

The Midshipmen have earned 577 total yards for the season. With reference to getting the ball in the endzone, Navy has earned 1 touchdown through the air and 2 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the ball over 0 different times. Navy has compiled 30 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 7 infractions for 61 yds. As a unit they're averaging 185.5 yards in the run game which is 46th in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Navy Midshipmen have an average of 13.5 points per outing.

The Midshipmen are sitting in 63rd in D-1 regarding the opposition scoring, giving up 21.0 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.3 yards per run and 137.5 rushing yards per contest on the campaign. For the season, they have allowed 275 rushing yards through 2 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Midshipmen are giving up 396 yards which puts them in 52nd in Division 1. They have given up 198.0 yards per contest through the air as well as giving up a completion percentage of 63.3%. In total, they have relinquished 335.5 yards per contest ranking them 65th in the country. They have allowed 4 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 2-0 for this season. In their last game, the Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 37-3 when they played the Arkansas State Red Wolves. Seth Henigan (2 touchdowns) finished the contest with 239 yards on 21/29 through the air while his quarterback rating was 164.4. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 8.2. Blake Watson ran the football 20 times for 51 yds, finishing the game with 2.6 yds per attempt for Memphis. The Tigers finished the game with a total of 389 yds while they ran 70 plays (5.6 yards per play). Memphis ran the ball for 3.7 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 150 yards on 41 carries. Memphis relinquished 30 attempts on the ground for 64 yards (2.1 yds per rush). The Tigers pass defense gave up a completion rate of 53.7%, surrendering 166 yards on 22 for 41 through the air.

When discussing how much they score, the Tigers currently rank 16th in the country by scoring 46.5 points per outing. The Memphis Tigers are averaging 470.0 yards/outing, which is good for 29th in college football. The Memphis offense has racked up 95 yds of penalties on 8 violations, which ranks 106th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 2 picks while conceding 1 fumble and they have earned 45 1st downs. For the season thus far, the Tigers have thrown for a total of 582 passing yards in addition to an average of 291.0 throwing yards per outing, putting them at 36th in Division 1. They hold an average of 179.0 yards via the ground game and have run for 358 yards for the year.

Memphis has yielded a total of 100 yards on the ground (50.0 yards per game) in addition to 0 touchdowns on the ground on the season. They have conceded 0 TDs via the pass as well as 102.5 yards per game, which has them sitting 4th in the country. Their defense has earned 3 fumbles and 2 interceptions for the year. The Tigers defense has taken the field for 119 plays, which is 26th in the nation. The Tigers are relinquishing 8.5 points per contest, ranking them 13th in D-1. Overall, they have allowed 17 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Midshipmen/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Midshipmen +15

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