MTSU Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction, 11/25/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs Sam Houston State Bearkats

Date: Saturday, November 25, 2023

Location: Elliott T. Bowers Stadium in Huntsville, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bearkats (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

Elliott T. Bowers Stadium is where the Sam Houston State Bearkats (2-9) will meet the MTSU Blue Raiders (4-7) on Saturday, November 25, 2023. Sam Houston State opens this contest as 4-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total is 48.5.

The MTSU Blue Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 4-7 this season. The last time they took the field, the Blue Raiders went up against the UTEP Miners and notched a win by a score of 34-30. Nicholas Vattiato was the best rusher for the Blue Raiders with 15 attempts for 92 yds (6.1 yards per attempt). Nicholas Vattiato went 18/35 with 242 yards through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 132.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Against the run, the Blue Raiders conceded 89 yards on 31 tries, which is an average of 2.9 yds per run allowed. MTSU gave up 24 completions on 41 attempts for a total of 364 yds, and a completion percentage of 58.5%. In all, they had 70 plays which totaled 427 yds. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the football 35 different times and recorded 185 yds, which had them averaging 5.3 yards per carry.

The Blue Raiders have earned 4,351 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, MTSU has earned 23 passing touchdowns and 11 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 18 different times. MTSU has accrued 215 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 74 infractions for 612 yards. As a team they're holding an average of 130.5 yards in the run game giving them a rank of 97th in D-1. In terms of scoring, the MTSU Blue Raiders hold an average of 24.6 points per outing.

In terms of passing yardage, the Blue Raiders are giving up 2,795 yds which has them sitting in 114th in the nation. They have conceded 254.1 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 62.3%. In total, they are conceding 405.7 yards per outing which has them ranked 102nd in D-1. They have given up 19 touchdowns by air as well as 19 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up 4.1 yards per rush and 151.6 yards on the ground per game this season. During this campaign, they have allowed 1,668 yards on the ground through 11 games. The Blue Raiders are sitting in 94th in D-1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 28.5 points per game.

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The Bearkats head into this game 2-9 this year. The last time they took the field, the Bearkats took a loss by a score of 28-23 when they faced the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Keegan Shoemaker (1 touchdown) walked away from the contest with 271 yards on 25/45 through the air while his QB rating was 104.6. He tossed 2 interceptions and his Y/A was 6.0. John Gentry ran the ball 15 times for 41 yds, finishing the game with 2.7 yards per carry for Sam Houston State. Sam Houston State rushed for 2.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 86 yds on 31 attempts. The Bearkats finished the game with 357 yds while running 76 plays (4.7 yards per play). The Bearkats pass defense allowed a completion rate of 68.3%, surrendering 392 yds on 28 out of 41 passing. Sam Houston State relinquished 31 run attempts for 73 yds (2.4 yards per rush).

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Bearkats rank 116th in the nation maintaining an average of 19.7 points per contest. The Sam Houston State Bearkats have an average of 313.9 yards/game, which has them ranked 120th in college football. The Sam Houston State offense has racked up 465 penalty yds on 56 infractions, which has them sitting 99th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 11 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have earned 199 first downs. For the season thus far, the Bearkats have earned 2,471 passing yards as well as an average of 224.6 passing yards per outing, giving them a rank of 67th in Division 1. They have an average of 89.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 982 yards overall.

The Bearkats are surrendering 26.7 points per contest, which has them sitting 74th in D-1. Sam Houston State has conceded a total of 1,889 yards on the ground (171.7 yards per game) as well as 23 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. Overall, they have conceded 294 total points. They have given up 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 227.5 yards per outing, which puts them in 69th in Division 1. The Bearkats defense has taken the field for 738 plays, which is 72nd in the nation. Their defense has 7 fumbles and 10 picks on the season.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Bearkats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bearkats +4

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