MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 57

Aggie Memorial Stadium is where the New Mexico State Aggies (6-3) will take on the MTSU Blue Raiders (2-6) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. New Mexico State is 2-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 57.

The MTSU Blue Raiders step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Blue Raiders played the Liberty Flames and went home with a loss by a final score of 42-35. Jaiden Credle was the best rusher for the Blue Raiders with 12 totes for 50 yds (4.2 yards per attempt). Nicholas Vattiato connected on 24/37 with 332 yards through the air and 4 TDs. He had a QB rate of 165.1 and finished the game with 2 interceptions. In the running game, the Blue Raiders gave up 401 yards on 61 attempts, which is 6.6 yds per rush surrendered. MTSU surrendered 12 pass completions on 20 tries for a total of 140 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. Overall, they tallied 63 plays for 428 yds. The MTSU Blue Raiders ran the ball 26 different times and totaled 96 yards, which had them averaging 3.7 yards per tote.

Regarding getting in the endzone, the MTSU Blue Raiders are averaging 23.8 points per game. As a team they're maintaining an average of 117.9 yards in the run game ranking them 107th in Division 1. The Blue Raiders have attained 3,151 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, MTSU has compiled 15 touchdowns via the pass and 10 rushing touchdowns. MTSU has a total of 159 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 58 infractions for 499 yards. They have surrendered the ball 15 times.

Regarding passing yardage, the Blue Raiders are giving up 1,981 yds which ranks them 99th in college football. They have yielded 247.6 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 64.3%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 416.4 yards per contest ranking them 111th in D-1. They have given up 17 touchdowns by air as well as 17 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 4.4 yards per tote and 168.8 rushing yards per game so far this year. In total, they have conceded 1,350 running yards through 8 outings. The Blue Raiders sit in 119th in college football regarding team defense, conceding 33.1 points per game.

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The Aggies head into this matchup 6-3 for this season. In their last game, the Aggies got the victory with a final of 27-24 against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. Diego Pavia (1 TD) ended the game with 95 yards on 10/19 through the air while his QB rating was 112. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 5.0. Star Thomas ran the ball 10 times for 88 yds, ending the game with 8.8 yds per carry for New Mexico State. The Aggies finished the contest with a total of 327 yds while running 59 plays (5.5 yards per play). New Mexico State ran the ball for 5.8 yds per carry, finishing the game with 232 yds on 40 carries. New Mexico State gave up 43 run attempts for 133 yds (3.1 yds per carry). The Aggies secondary allowed a completion percentage of 74.1%, surrendering 238 yds on 20 out of 27 through the air.

Regarding how much they score, the Aggies are ranked 60th in the nation with an average of 29.4 points per game. The New Mexico State Aggies average 426.9 yards/game, ranking them 43rd in the country. The New Mexico State offense has compiled 512 yards of penalties on 49 violations, which ranks 62nd in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have tossed 5 picks while losing 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 177 first downs. For the season to this point, the Aggies have thrown for a total of 1,995 yards via the pass along with an average of 221.7 throwing yards per game, ranking them 76th in Division 1. They are averaging 205.2 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,847 yards for the season.

New Mexico State has surrendered a total of 1,158 rushing yards (128.7 yards per game) as well as 14 touchdowns rushing on the year. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass and 243.0 yards/game, ranking them 97th in the country. Their defense has totaled 5 fumbles and 2 interceptions for the season. The Aggies defense has taken the field for 592 plays, which is good for 116th in D-1. The Aggies are relinquishing 21.4 PPG, which has them sitting 43rd in the nation. This year, they have surrendered 193 points.

Who will win tonight's Blue Raiders/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Aggies -2

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