Missouri Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+10)

Total/Over-Under: 56.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3) welcome the Missouri Tigers (4-0) at FirstBank Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Vanderbilt opens this game as 10-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 56.5.

The Missouri Tigers head into this game 4-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Tigers played the Memphis Tigers and earned the victory with a final of 34-27. Brady Cook went 18/25 with 341 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 213 and finished the game with no picks. Cody Schrader led the offense in rushing for the Tigers with 14 carries for 123 yards (8.8 yds per attempt). In the game, they ran 61 plays which totaled 542 yds. The Missouri Tigers ran the football 36 different times and had 201 yards, which is an average of 5.6 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Tigers gave up 83 yds on 29 tries, which calculates to 2.9 yds per run allowed. Missouri gave up 31 pass completions on 47 tries for 316 yds, and a completion percentage of 66.0%.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Missouri Tigers are averaging 30.5 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 152.0 yards in the run game which is 72nd in the country. The Tigers have earned 1,735 yards in total this year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Missouri has compiled 8 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. Missouri has accumulated 85 first downs, and they have been flagged for 25 penalties for 187 yds. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times.

Concerning yards through the air, the Tigers have conceded 953 yds which has them ranked 82nd in the country. They have conceded 238.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 63.3%. Over the course of this year, they are surrendering 321.5 yards per game which puts them 43rd in college football. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns via the pass as well as 0 touchdown on the ground. They are giving up 2.6 yards per tote and 83.3 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 333 running yards through 4 games. The Tigers are sitting in 50th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 20.8 points per game.

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The Commodores head into this game 2-3 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Commodores took a loss by a final score of 45-28 when they faced the Kentucky Wildcats. Sedrick Alexander carried the ball 8 times for 37 yards, ending the contest with 4.6 yds per carry for Vanderbilt. AJ Swann ended the game with 189 yds on 16/40 passing while his QB rating was 64.7. He threw 3 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.7. Vanderbilt surrendered 31 running attempts for 160 yards (5.2 yards per carry). The Commodores pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 51.7%, surrendering 205 yards on 15 for 29 passing. The Commodores ended up finishing with 328 yds on 74 plays (4.4 yards per play). Vanderbilt rushed for 3.6 yards per carry, totaling 97 yds on 27 carries.

The Vanderbilt Commodores hold an average of 385.8 yards/outing, which ranks them 75th in the country. The Vanderbilt offense has 239 yds of penalties on 25 violations, which is good for 60th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They average 108.6 run yards per game and have rushed for 543 yards for the season. They have tossed 7 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to earn 103 first downs. In terms of their ability to score points, the Commodores currently rank 47th in Division 1 scoring 33.4 points per outing. For the season so far, the Commodores have compiled 1,386 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 277.2 passing yards per game, ranking them 35th in Division 1.

The Commodores are allowing 32.4 points per game, which puts them 112th in college football. Vanderbilt has allowed the opposition a total of 750 yards rushing (150.0 yards per game) as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground on the year. Overall, they have given up 162 points in total. They have surrendered 8 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 234.2 yards per outing, which puts them in 83rd in Division 1. The Commodores defense has taken the field for 338 plays, which is 130th in D-1. Their defense has totaled 1 fumble and 7 picks this year.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Commodores +10

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