Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Texas A&M Aggies

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Kyle Field in College Station, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Aggies (-13)

Total/Over-Under: 46.5

The Texas A&M Aggies (5-4) will compete against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5) at Kyle Field on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Mississippi State is 13-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 46.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-5 for this season. In their last game, the Bulldogs took on the Kentucky Wildcats and took a loss by a score of 24-3. Mike Wright finished 11/21 with 78 yards through the air. He had a quarterback rating of 74.1 and finished the game with 1 pick. Seth Davis led the offense in rushing for the Bulldogs with 4 carries for 24 yds (6.0 yards per attempt). The Mississippi State Bulldogs ran the ball a total of 31 different times and totaled 73 yards, earning them an average of 2.4 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they tallied 66 plays which totaled 218 yds. Mississippi State allowed 15 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 161 yards, and a completion rate of 60.0%. On the ground, the Bulldogs conceded 110 yards on 29 tries, which is an average of 3.8 yards per run allowed.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 22.7 points per game. Offensively they are averaging 146.6 yards on the ground which ranks them 81st in college football. The Bulldogs have earned 3,046 total yards for the year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Mississippi State has earned 13 passing touchdowns and 10 rushing touchdowns. Mississippi State has earned 153 1st downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 53 infractions for 461 yards. They have turned the football over 11 different times.

Regarding passing yardage, the Bulldogs are giving up 2,069 yards which has them sitting in 67th in the nation. They have yielded 229.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 71.9%. In total, they have surrendered 362.0 yards/game which puts them 59th in college football. They have granted 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 10 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per attempt on the ground and 132.1 yards on the ground per game for the season. In total, they have allowed 1,189 yards via the ground game in 9 games. The Bulldogs are ranked 68th in the country regarding team defense, giving up 25.7 PPG.

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The Aggies come into this matchup with a record of 5-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Aggies went home defeated by a final of 38-35 against the Ole Miss Rebels. Amari Daniels carried the ball 12 times for 70 yards, finishing the contest with 5.8 yds per carry for Texas A&M. Max Johnson (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 305 yards on 31/42 passing while his QB rating was 137.9. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 7.3. Texas A&M relinquished 33 rushing attempts for 131 yards (4.0 yds per rush). The Aggies secondary conceded a completion percentage of 72.7%, surrendering 387 yards on 24 for 33 passing. The Aggies finished the game with a total of 457 yards and they ran 78 plays (5.9 yds per play). Texas A&M ran for 4.2 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 152 yds on 36 carries.

The Texas A&M Aggies maintain an average of 401.2 yards per outing, which is good for 57th in D-1. The Texas A&M offense has racked up 481 penalty yds on 63 violations, which has them ranked 29th in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They average 131.1 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 1,180 yards for the year. They have thrown 7 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 198 1st downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Aggies are ranking 37th in Division 1 scoring 32.3 points per contest. For the season so far, the Aggies have earned 2,431 yards through the air along with an average of 270.1 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 37th in the nation.

Texas A&M has allowed the opposition a total of 900 yards on the ground (100.0 yards per outing) in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have yielded 13 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 196.9 yards per game, ranking them 29th in the nation. They have earned 3 fumbles recovered and 4 picks for the year. The Aggies defense has participated in 539 plays, which is good for 11th in the nation. The Aggies are surrendering 21.6 points per game, ranking them 38th in the nation. This season, they have allowed 194 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Aggies college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +13

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