Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, AL

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 43.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-3) are headed to Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023 where they will attempt to defeat the Auburn Tigers (3-4). Auburn opens this game as 6-point favorites from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 43.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-3 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bulldogs went up against the Arkansas Razorbacks and earned the victory with a final of 7-3. Mike Wright went 8/12 with 85 yards through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rating of 137 and finished the contest with 1 interception. Mike Wright was the leader on the ground for the Bulldogs with 11 totes for 60 yds (5.5 yards per carry). At the end of the game, they tallied 48 plays which gave them 205 yds. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ran the rock 36 different times and accrued 120 yards, which had them averaging 3.3 yards per carry. Against the run, the Bulldogs gave up 103 yards on 37 tries, which is 2.8 yards per run surrendered. Mississippi State conceded 19 completions on 31 tries for a total of 97 yds, and a completion rate of 61.3%.

The Bulldogs have tallied 2,458 yards in total over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Mississippi State has amassed 12 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 8 different times. Mississippi State has 119 1st downs, and they have been called for 36 infractions for 323 yds. As a unit they're averaging 148.1 yards on the ground which has them sitting 77th in the nation. In terms of putting points on the board, the Mississippi State Bulldogs have an average of 26.9 PPG.

In terms of yards via the pass, the Bulldogs have allowed 1,678 yds which puts them in 77th in D-1. They have conceded 239.7 yards per outing via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 72.5%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 367.3 yards per contest which ranks them 64th in college football. They have relinquished 11 touchdowns by air and 10 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for an average of 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 127.6 rushing yards per game so far this year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 893 rushing yards through 7 games. The Bulldogs are ranked 72nd in college football when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 25.7 PPG.

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The Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 for this season. When they last played, the Tigers took a loss by a score of 28-21 against the Ole Miss Rebels. Jarquez Hunter carried the rock 15 times for 91 yds, finishing the game with 6.1 yards per attempt for Auburn. Payton Thorne (1 TD) ended the contest with 100 yds on 9/13 through the air while his quarterback rate was 143.8. He tossed 1 interception and his Y/A was 7.7. Auburn conceded 56 running attempts for 223 yds (4.0 yards per carry). The Tigers passing defense conceded a completion rate of 55.6%, surrendering 202 yards on 10 out of 18 through the air. The Tigers finished with a total of 275 yards while they ran 56 plays (4.9 yards per play). Auburn rushed the ball for 3.9 yards per tote, finishing with a total of 153 yards on 39 carries.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Tigers are 80th in D-1 holding an average of 26.7 points per contest. The Auburn Tigers have an average of 337.0 yards/outing, ranking them 103rd in D-1. The Auburn offense has 309 penalty yds on 39 infractions, which is 96th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 6 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to tally 124 first downs. During the season so far, the Tigers have earned 1,057 yards through the air together with holding an average of 151.0 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 124th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 186.0 yards via the ground game and have run for 1,302 yards for this year.

The Tigers are allowing 23.9 PPG, ranking them 59th in the country. Auburn has surrendered a total of 1,104 yards via the ground game (157.7 yards per outing) and 12 touchdowns rushing this season. Overall, they have given up 167 total points. They have conceded 9 touchdowns through the air and 214.0 yards/game, ranking them 51st in the nation. The Tigers defense has been on the field for 451 plays, which is good for 31st in college football. Their defense has compiled 4 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions this season.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers -6

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