Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Razorbacks (-5)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) are headed to Razorback Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will compete against the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5). Mississippi State opens as 5-point underdogs. The total is 49.5.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs head into this game 3-3 this year. In their last contest, the Bulldogs played the Western Michigan Broncos and took home the win by a score of 41-28. Seth Davis led the offense in rushing for the Bulldogs with 10 carries for 65 yards (6.5 yards per carry). Will Rogers connected on 16/22 with 189 yds passing and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 189.9 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. On the ground, the Bulldogs gave up 116 yards on 32 tries, which is 3.6 yards per run surrendered. Mississippi State gave up 33 completions on 45 tries for a total of 297 yds, and a completion rate of 73.3%. On the day, they had 65 plays which gave them a total of 440 yards. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ran the football 33 different times and compiled 194 yards, which had them averaging 5.9 yards per carry.

The Bulldogs have earned 2,253 yards in total this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Mississippi State has earned 11 passing touchdowns and 10 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 7 times. Mississippi State has a total of 109 first downs, and they have committed 28 infractions for 274 yards. Offensively they hold an average of 152.8 yards rushing ranking them 69th in college football. In terms of scoring points, the Mississippi State Bulldogs hold an average of 30.2 PPG.

The Bulldogs sit in 96th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 29.5 points per game. They are allowing an average of 3.7 yards per rush on the ground and 131.7 rushing yards per game so far this year. During the season, they have conceded 790 running yards through 6 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Bulldogs are allowing 1,581 yards which has them sitting in 88th in Division 1. They have yielded 263.5 yards per contest via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 74.1%. During this campaign, they are granting 395.2 yards per outing ranking them 91st in Division 1. They have surrendered 11 touchdowns by air in addition to 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Razorbacks head into this game 2-5 this season. In their last game, the Razorbacks took a loss by a final score of 24-21 when they played the Alabama Crimson Tide. AJ Green ran the football 6 times for 44 yards, walking away from the game with 7.3 yards per carry for Arkansas. K.J. Jefferson (2 TDs) ended the contest with 150 yards on 14/24 passing while his quarterback rating was 138.3. He didn't toss any picks and his average yards per attempt was 6.3. Arkansas surrendered 42 rush attempts for 177 yards (4.2 yds per rush). The Razorbacks secondary gave up a completion rate of 47.6%, surrendering 238 yards on 10 for 21 through the air. The Razorbacks finished the contest with 250 yards and they ran 60 plays (4.2 yards per play). Arkansas ran for 2.8 yards per carry, finishing with 100 yds on 36 attempts.

When looking at their ability to score points, the Razorbacks rank 62nd in Division 1 by scoring 29.9 PPG. The Arkansas Razorbacks hold an average of 321.0 yards per outing, which ranks them 118th in D-1. The Arkansas offense has racked up 397 penalty yds on 48 violations, which has them ranked 26th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have tossed 6 picks while surrendering 1 fumbles and they have been able to earn 126 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Razorbacks have compiled 1,478 passing yards along with holding an average of 211.1 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 92nd in the country. They are averaging 109.9 yards per game on the ground and have run for 769 yards for this year.

Arkansas has allowed a total of 933 rushing yards (133.3 yards per outing) and 6 touchdowns rushing on the year. They have given up 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 218.0 yards per outing, which puts them in 55th in the nation. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles and 7 interceptions on the season. The Razorbacks defense has taken part in 438 plays, which is good for 74th in Division 1. The Razorbacks are allowing 25.1 points per game, which has them 67th in the country. This year, they have conceded 176 points.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Razorbacks -5

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