Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Beaver Stadium in University Park, PA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Nittany Lions (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 44.5

Beaver Stadium is where the Penn State Nittany Lions (8-1) will take on the Michigan Wolverines (9-0) on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Penn State opens this contest as 1-point dogs. The total comes in at 44.5.

The Michigan Wolverines head into this matchup 9-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Wolverines faced off with the Purdue Boilermakers and took home the win by a score of 41-13. J.J. McCarthy finished 24/37 with 335 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 140.9 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Blake Corum was the rushing leader for the Wolverines with 15 carries for 44 yds (2.9 yards per carry). The Michigan Wolverines ended up running the ball 34 times and recorded 110 yds, which had them averaging 3.2 yards per carry. In all, they tallied 71 plays which converted into 445 yards. Michigan conceded 12 pass completions on 28 attempts for a total of 144 yards, and a completion percentage of 42.9%. When it came to stopping the run, the Wolverines conceded 125 yards on 29 tries, which calculates to 4.3 yds per rush surrendered.

The Wolverines have tallied 3,818 total yards for the season. In terms of notching touchdowns, Michigan has earned 20 touchdowns via the pass and 25 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 6 times. Michigan has 201 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 24 penalties for 208 yds. Offensively they're maintaining an average of 167.1 yards rushing which has them sitting 51st in Division 1. In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Michigan Wolverines have an average of 40.7 points per contest.

The Wolverines are sitting in 1st in the nation concerning their opponents scoring, conceding 6.7 PPG. They are allowing an average of 3.0 yards per attempt on the ground and 90.1 rushing yards per game for the year. During the season, they have allowed 811 running yards through 9 games. Regarding passing yards, the Wolverines are allowing 1,272 yds which has them sitting in 1st in college football. They have relinquished 141.3 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 52.6%. Overall, they are surrendering 231.4 yards per outing which ranks them 1st in the nation. They have yielded 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 2 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Nittany Lions come into this game with a record of 8-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Nittany Lions walked away with a victory by a final of 51-15 when they faced the Maryland Terrapins. Kaytron Allen carried the rock 14 times for 91 yds, ending the game with 6.5 yards per attempt for Penn State. Drew Allar (4 TDs) ended the game with 240 yards on 25/34 through the air while his quarterback rating was 171.6. He didn't throw any interceptions and his Y/A was 7.1. Penn State gave up 16 running attempts for -51 yards (-3.2 yds per carry). The Nittany Lions secondary gave up a completion percentage of 73.8%, surrendering 283 yards on 31 for 42 passing. The Nittany Lions finished the contest with a total of 404 yds while running 76 plays (5.3 yards per play). Penn State ran the ball for 4.3 yards per carry, finishing with a total of 158 yards on 37 attempts.

The Penn State Nittany Lions have an average of 394.0 yards per game, which ranks them 61st in Division 1. The Penn State offense has 448 yards of penalties on 49 infractions, which ranks them 93rd in the nation in terms of giving up free yards. They maintain an average of 173.2 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,559 yards in total. They have thrown 1 interceptions while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to record 215 1st downs. When it comes to their ability to score points, the Nittany Lions are 6th in college football with 40.2 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Nittany Lions have thrown for a total of 1,987 passing yards as well as an average of 220.8 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 75th in Division 1.

The Nittany Lions are conceding 11.9 points per game, which has them sitting 3rd in the country. Penn State has given up a total of 543 rushing yards (60.3 yards/game) as well as 6 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. In total, they have relinquished 107 pts. They have yielded 7 touchdowns via the pass as well as 173.9 yards/outing, which has them in 12th in D-1. The Nittany Lions defense has taken the field for 527 plays, ranking them 8th in the nation. They have 10 fumbles recovered and 10 picks so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Wolverines/Nittany Lions college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wolverines -1

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