Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (+14)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Michigan Wolverines (7-0) are en route to Spartan Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will attempt to defeat the Michigan State Spartans (2-4). Michigan is 14-point favorites. The total has been set at 48.5.

The Michigan Wolverines head into this matchup 7-0 this season. In their last matchup, the Wolverines faced off with the Indiana Hoosiers and walked away with a win by a score of 52-7. J.J. McCarthy went 14/17 with 222 yards through the air and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 250.3 and ended the contest with no interceptions. Benjamin Hall was the rushing leader for the Wolverines with 9 totes for 58 yards (6.4 yds per carry). The Michigan Wolverines ended up running the ball 42 different times and totaled 163 yds, earning them an average of 3.9 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 64 plays which converted into 407 yards. Michigan conceded 14 completions on 29 tries for a total of 140 yards, and a completion rate of 48.3%. When it came to stopping the run, the Wolverines gave up 92 yards on 33 tries, which calculates to 2.8 yards per run allowed.

Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Michigan Wolverines are averaging 39.4 PPG. As a team they are averaging 182.0 yards rushing which is 41st in the country. The Wolverines have earned 2,896 total yards over the course of this year. With reference to getting in the endzone, Michigan has amassed 16 touchdowns via the pass and 18 rushing touchdowns. Michigan has amassed 151 first downs, and they have committed 16 infractions for 123 yds. They have turned the football over 5 different times.

The Wolverines rank 1st in the nation regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 6.7 points per contest. The opposition is running for 3.0 yards per running attempt and 91.0 yards on the ground per game so far this season. During the season, they have given up 637 running yards through 7 outings. In terms of passing yardage, the Wolverines have given up 995 yards which puts them in 5th in college football. They are allowing 142.1 yards per game through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 54.0%. For the season, they are conceding 233.1 yards per game ranking them 2nd in college football. They have conceded 3 touchdowns through the air in addition to 2 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Spartans head into this matchup 2-4 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Spartans went home defeated by a final of 27-24 when they played the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Nate Carter carried the rock 20 times for 52 yds, walking away from the contest with 2.6 yards per carry for Michigan State. Katin Houser (2 TDs) finished the contest with 133 yards on 18/29 through the air while his QB rate was 123.4. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 4.6. Michigan State surrendered 37 rushing attempts for 114 yards (3.1 yards per rush). The Spartans passing defense allowed a completion rate of 46.4%, surrendering 181 yards on 13 for 28 passing. The Spartans finished the game with 245 yds while they ran 70 plays (3.5 yds per play). Michigan State rushed the ball for 2.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 112 yds on 41 carries.

The Michigan State Spartans have an average of 350.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 97th in the nation. The Michigan State offense has compiled 396 penalty yards on 45 violations, which has them ranked 36th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have an average of 118.7 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 712 yards for this season. They have given away 7 picks while letting opponents recover 8 fumbles and they have been able to earn 125 1st downs. In relation to the points being put on the board, the Spartans are ranking 109th in college football holding an average of 22.0 PPG. During this campaign thus far, the Spartans have thrown for a total of 1,390 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 231.7 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 71st in D-1.

The Spartans are giving up 24.3 PPG, which puts them 61st in the country. Michigan State has surrendered a total of 689 rushing yards (114.8 yards per game) as well as 3 touchdowns via the rush for the year. In total, they have relinquished 146 points. They have allowed 11 touchdowns through the air and 219.2 yards/contest, ranking them 57th in the country. The Spartans defense has participated in 383 plays, which is good for 23rd in college football. Their defense has compiled 3 fumbles and 6 picks so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Wolverines/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Wolverines -14

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