Miami RedHawks vs Appalachian State Mountaineers Prediction, 12/16/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami RedHawks vs Appalachian State Mountaineers

Date: Saturday, December 16, 2023

Location: FBC Mortgage Stadium in Orlando, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Mountaineers (-4)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Miami RedHawks (11-2) are hitting the road to FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday, December 16, 2023 where they will take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-5) in the Avocados from Mexico Cure Bowl. Appalachian State is 4-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 48.5.

The Miami RedHawks head into this matchup 11-2 for this year. In their last matchup, the RedHawks took on the Toledo Rockets and took home the win by a score of 23-14. Aveon Smith led the offense in rushing for the RedHawks with 21 attempts for 99 yards (4.7 yards per attempt). Aveon Smith connected on 6/16 with 109 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 94.7 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Against the rush, the RedHawks conceded 97 yds on 29 tries, which is an average of 3.3 yds per rush allowed. Miami relinquished 18 completions on 36 tries for 273 yards, and a completion percentage of 50.0%. At the end of the game, they ran 59 plays for 306 yds. The Miami Redhawks ran the football 43 different times and recorded 197 yards, which is an average of 4.6 yds per attempt.

Regarding scoring, the Miami RedHawks hold an average of 26.9 points per outing. As a team they are averaging 156.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 69th in the country. The RedHawks have earned 4,302 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Miami has compiled 16 touchdowns through the air and 22 rushing touchdowns. Miami has tallied 204 first downs as an offense, and they have been called for 64 infractions for 537 yards. They have turned the football over 14 times.

The RedHawks are ranked 7th in college football regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 16.2 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.6 yards per attempt on the ground and 128.8 rushing yards per game so far this year. In total, they have conceded 1,674 yards on the ground through 13 outings. When it comes to yards through the air, the RedHawks have given up 2,564 yards which ranks them 45th in college football. They have allowed 197.2 yards per outing via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 58.9%. For the year, they have allowed 325.9 yards per contest which has them sitting 27th in the nation. They have yielded 12 touchdowns by air in addition to 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Mountaineers come into this matchup with a record of 8-5 this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Mountaineers took a defeat with a final score of 49-23 against the Troy Trojans. Joey Aguilar finished the contest with 275 yds on 28/39 passing while his quarterback rate was 131. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.1. Kanye Roberts ran the ball 13 times for 53 yds, finishing the game with 4.1 yards per carry for Appalachian State. The Mountaineers finished the contest with a total of 383 yards on 80 plays (4.8 yards per play). Appalachian State rushed the ball for 2.6 yards per attempt, finishing with 108 yards on 41 carries. Appalachian State allowed 35 rushing attempts for 271 yards (7.7 yds per rush). The Mountaineers secondary conceded a completion percentage of 64.0%, surrendering 192 yds on 16 out of 25 passing.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers have an average of 450.0 yards per contest, which ranks them 20th in the country. The Appalachian State offense has compiled 556 penalty yards on 60 violations, which is 107th in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They maintain an average of 171.6 yards per game on the ground and have run for 2,231 yards overall. They have given away 9 picks while conceding 10 fumbles and they have earned 311 1st downs. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Mountaineers are sitting 20th in the country scoring 34.8 points per outing. During this campaign thus far, the Mountaineers have thrown for a total of 3,619 yards via the pass as well as an average of 278.4 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 24th in the nation.

Appalachian State has surrendered a total of 2,315 yards via the ground game (178.1 yards/game) as well as 27 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. They have surrendered 16 touchdowns through the air as well as 212.3 yards per game, which puts them in 45th in the nation. Their defense has totaled 7 fumbles and 16 interceptions on the year. The Mountaineers defense has participated in 872 plays, which has them sitting 119th in the country. The Mountaineers are conceding 28.4 points per game, which has them sitting 90th in Division 1. Overall, they have given up 369 points.

Who will win tonight's RedHawks/Mountaineers college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Mountaineers -4 and under 48.5 total points

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