Memphis Tigers vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Memphis Tigers vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Mean Green (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 67.5

The Memphis Tigers (5-2) are headed to DATCU Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023 where they will take on the North Texas Mean Green (3-4). North Texas is 7-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 67.5.

The Memphis Tigers head into this matchup 5-2 for this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tigers played the UAB Blazers and earned the victory with a final of 45-21. Blake Watson was the best rusher for the Tigers with 21 totes for 125 yds (6.0 yds per carry). Seth Henigan finished 19/28 with 159 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 139.1 and finished the game with no picks. On the ground, the Tigers conceded 208 yds on 39 tries, which calculates to 5.3 yds per rush surrendered. Memphis gave up 15 completions on 28 attempts for a total of 173 yds, and a completion rate of 53.6%. When all was said and done, they had 71 plays which gave them a total of 352 yards. The Memphis Tigers ended up running the ball 43 different times and totaled 193 yds, which is an average of 4.5 yards per attempt.

The Tigers have earned 2,913 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Memphis has amassed 15 passing touchdowns and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 9 times. Memphis has tallied 147 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 31 penalties for 314 yds. As a unit they're holding an average of 149.7 yards on the ground which has them sitting 75th in the nation. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Memphis Tigers are averaging 35.6 PPG.

The Tigers sit in 51st in the country regarding team defense, giving up 22.7 points per game. They are allowing an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 156.6 rushing yards per game for the campaign. For the year, they have conceded 1,096 yards via the running game in 7 games. Regarding passing yardage, the Tigers have given up 1,486 yds which puts them in 40th in Division 1. They are giving up 212.3 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 57.8%. For the season, they have relinquished 368.9 yards per contest putting them at 65th in Division 1. They have yielded 8 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Mean Green step onto the field holding a record of 3-4 for this season. In their last game, the Mean Green took a loss by a score of 35-28 when they played the Tulane Green Wave. Chandler Rogers carried the rock 8 times for 34 yards, walking away from the game with 4.3 yds per carry for North Texas. Chandler Rogers (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 343 yards on 35/51 through the air while his QB rate was 138.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 6.7. North Texas conceded 48 run attempts for 245 yds (5.1 yards per carry). The Mean Green pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 71.4%, relinquishing 194 yards on 15 out of 21 through the air. The Mean Green finished the game with a total of 426 yards on 75 plays (5.7 yards per play). North Texas rushed for 3.5 yds per carry, finishing the game with 83 yds on 24 attempts.

The North Texas Mean Green hold an average of 470.1 yards/outing, ranking them 14th in the nation. The North Texas offense has racked up 270 yards of penalties on 25 violations, which is good for 129th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They average 179.3 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,255 yards for the year. They have given away 5 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 5 fumbles and they have obtained 168 first downs. When discussing their ability to score points, the Mean Green currently rank 25th in the nation with 34.6 points per game. During this campaign thus far, the Mean Green currently have a total of 2,036 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 290.9 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 21st in Division 1.

The Mean Green are giving up 35.4 PPG, which puts them 126th in Division 1. North Texas has surrendered a total of 1,785 rushing yards (255.0 yards/game) in addition to 19 touchdowns rushing so far this year. In total, they have conceded 248 total points. They have given up 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 203.0 yards per game, which has them in 41st in the country. The Mean Green defense has participated in 515 plays, which is good for 96th in Division 1. They have tallied 4 fumbles and 8 interceptions on the year.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Mean Green college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mean Green +7

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