Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 9/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Saturday, September 23, 2023

Location: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (+5)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

Spartan Stadium is where the Michigan State Spartans (2-1) will attempt to beat the Maryland Terrapins (3-0) on Saturday, September 23, 2023. Maryland is 5-point favorites. The over/under has been set at 53.5.

The Maryland Terrapins come into this matchup with a record of 3-0 for this season. In their last game, the Terrapins stepped onto the field against the Virginia Cavaliers and walked away with a win by a score of 42-14. Taulia Tagovailoa went 19/30 with 342 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rate of 170.1 and ended the contest with no interceptions. Colby McDonald was the rushing leader for the Terrapins with 10 attempts for 75 yards (7.5 yards per attempt). The Maryland Terrapins ended up rushing 31 different times and totaled 119 yds, which came out to an average of 3.8 yds per attempt. When all was said and done, they ran 61 plays which gave them a total of 461 yds. Maryland conceded 23 completions on 39 tries for a total of 263 yds, and a completion rate of 59.0%. Against the run, the Terrapins gave up 91 yds on 30 attempts, which is an average of 3.0 yards per run allowed.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Maryland Terrapins are averaging 39.3 PPG. As a team they're averaging 176.0 yards on the ground which has them sitting 52nd in the country. The Terrapins have earned 1,440 total yards for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Maryland has earned 5 passing touchdowns and 9 touchdowns on the ground. Maryland has tallied 78 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 17 infractions for 184 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Terrapins are giving up 580 yds which has them ranked 38th in D-1. They are allowing 193.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 57.7%. For the year, they are granting 314.7 yards/outing ranking them 51st in D-1. They have surrendered 2 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 2 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.7 yards per run and 121.3 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. For the year, they have allowed 364 running yards through 3 games. The Terrapins are ranked 21st in the nation regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 13.3 PPG.

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The Spartans come into this game with a record of 2-1 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Spartans went home defeated by a final of 41-7 when they faced the Washington Huskies. Noah Kim ended the game with 136 yds on 12/31 passing while his quarterback rating was 69.1. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 4.4. Nate Carter ran the ball 17 times for 48 yards, finishing the contest with 2.8 yds per carry for Michigan State. Michigan State rushed the ball for 2.0 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 53 yds on 27 attempts. The Spartans finished with 261 yds while running 62 plays (4.2 yards per play). The Spartans pass defense conceded a completion rate of 74.4%, surrendering 536 yards on 29 for 39 passing. Michigan State relinquished 33 rush attempts for 177 yards (5.4 yards per rush).

The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 377.3 yards/contest, which ranks them 78th in the country. The Michigan State offense has 194 yards of penalties on 24 infractions, which has them ranked 21st in college football in terms of helping out the other team. They average 114.0 run yards per game and have run for 342 yards in total. They have tossed 1 interception while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 56 1st downs. Concerning the points being put on the board, the Spartans rank 77th in Division 1 averaging 27.7 points per game. For the year thus far, the Spartans have compiled 790 yards through the air together with holding an average of 263.3 passing yards per outing, ranking them 47th in D-1.

Michigan State has given up a total of 375 rushing yards (125.0 yards/game) as well as 1 touchdown by way of the ground game for the year. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns via the pass as well as 250.0 yards per contest, which puts them in 99th in D-1. They have totaled 1 fumble recovered and 2 picks for the year. The Spartans defense has been on the field for 192 plays, which ranks them 56th in D-1. The Spartans are surrendering 20.7 PPG, ranking them 57th in the country. Overall, they have surrendered 62 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Terrapins/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Terrapins -5

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