LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 9/16/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, September 16, 2023

Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The LSU Tigers (1-1) are en route to Davis Wade Stadium on Saturday, September 16, 2023 where they will go up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-0). Mississippi State opens this matchup as 9-point underdogs. The over/under is 53.5.

The LSU Tigers come into this matchup with a record of 1-1 for this season. In their last contest, the Tigers played the Grambling State Tigers and took home the win by a score of 72-10. Logan Diggs was the leader on the ground for the Tigers with 15 carries for 115 yards (7.7 yds per carry). Jayden Daniels connected on 18/24 with 269 yards passing and 5 TDs. He had a QB rating of 237.9 and ended the contest with no picks. When it came to stopping the run, the Tigers conceded 163 yds on 29 attempts, which calculates to 5.6 yards per rush surrendered. LSU surrendered 15 pass completions on 31 tries for a total of 157 yards, and a completion percentage of 48.4%. When all was said and done, they ran 82 plays which gave them a total of 622 yds. The LSU Tigers rushed the ball a total of 48 times and tallied 302 yds, which came out to an average of 6.3 yards per attempt.

The Tigers have tallied 1,081 total yards this season. In terms of notching touchdowns, LSU has amassed 6 passing touchdowns and 7 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 2 times. LSU has 57 first downs, and they have been hurt by 4 penalties for 50 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 207.5 yards on the ground ranking them 31st in D-1. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the LSU Tigers are averaging 48.0 points per game.

Regarding passing yardage, the Tigers have conceded 516 yards which ranks them 96th in the nation. They have yielded 258.0 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.9%. For the season, they have relinquished 407.0 yards per game putting them 104th in the country. They have allowed 5 touchdowns through the air as well as 2 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 4.7 yards per run and 149.0 rushing yards per game this year. Over the course of this season, they have allowed 298 yards via the ground game in 2 games. The Tigers rank 94th in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 27.5 points per contest.

Get all of our College Football Picks this Week

The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 2-0 this season. When they last played, the Bulldogs walked away with a victory by a final of 31-24 against the Arizona Wildcats. Jo'quavious Marks carried the ball 24 times for 123 yards, finishing the contest with 5.1 yards per attempt for Mississippi State. Will Rogers (3 TDs) finished the contest with 162 yds on 13/17 through the air while his quarterback rating was 214.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 9.5. Mississippi State relinquished 25 rushing attempts for 91 yards (3.6 yds per carry). The Bulldogs secondary gave up a completion rate of 70.2%, relinquishing 340 yds on 33 out of 47 passing. The Bulldogs ended up finishing with 307 yds while running 56 plays (5.5 yds per play). Mississippi State ran for 3.7 yds per carry, finishing the contest with 145 yds on 39 attempts.

Regarding their ability to score points, the Bulldogs rank 31st in the nation with 39.5 PPG. The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 416.0 yards per contest, which has them ranked 57th in D-1. The Mississippi State offense has 105 yds of penalties on 10 violations, which ranks 83rd in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 0 picks while surrendering 1 fumble and they have been able to earn 39 1st downs. During the season thus far, the Bulldogs have thrown for a total of 389 yards through the air along with an average of 194.5 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 103rd in the nation. They average 221.5 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 443 yards for this season.

Mississippi State has conceded a total of 174 yards rushing (87.0 yards/game) and 1 touchdown by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have given up 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 232.5 yards per game, which has them ranked 86th in D-1. Their defense has compiled 2 fumbles recovered and 4 picks over the course of the season. The Bulldogs defense has taken the field for 126 plays, which ranks them 45th in the country. The Bulldogs are relinquishing 15.5 PPG, which has them sitting 39th in the nation. In total, they have allowed 31 pts.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers -9

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here