LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa, AL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Crimson Tide (-7)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

The LSU Tigers (6-2) are traveling to Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday, November 4, 2023 where they will compete against the Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1). LSU opens this game as 7-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 60.5.

The LSU Tigers come into this game with a record of 6-2 for this season. In their last game, the Tigers took the field against the Army Black Knights and earned the victory with a final of 62-0. Jayden Daniels connected on 11/15 with 279 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 295.6 and finished the game without throwing a pick. Trey Holly was the leader on the ground for the Tigers with 6 carries for 91 yards (15.2 yds per carry). The LSU Tigers rushed the ball a total of 33 different times and had 202 yards, which is an average of 6.1 yds per attempt. Once the final whistle blew, they ran 60 plays for 570 yards. LSU allowed 6 completions on 15 tries for a total of 42 yds, and a completion rate of 40.0%. On the ground, the Tigers conceded 151 yards on 43 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yards per run allowed.

Regarding scoring points, the LSU Tigers are averaging 47.4 points per game. As a unit they have an average of 213.0 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 14th in college football. The Tigers have earned 4,423 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, LSU has compiled 26 touchdowns through the air and 22 rushing touchdowns. LSU has accrued 217 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 47 infractions for 379 yds. They have turned the ball over 5 different times.

The Tigers are ranked 76th in Division 1 when it comes to their opponents scoring, conceding 26.5 points per contest. They are giving up 4.7 yards per run and 156.5 rushing yards per contest so far this year. Overall, they have conceded 1,252 running yards through 8 games. In terms of passing yardage, the Tigers have conceded 1,908 yds which has them ranked 88th in the nation. They have surrendered 238.5 yards per outing via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 59.2%. For the season, they are conceding 395.0 yards/game ranking them 92nd in Division 1. They have yielded 16 touchdowns via the pass and 10 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Crimson Tide step onto the field holding a record of 7-1 this season. The last time they took the field, the Crimson Tide walked away with a victory by a final of 34-20 against the Tennessee Volunteers. Jase McClellan carried the rock 27 times for 115 yds, walking away from the contest with 4.3 yds per attempt for Alabama. Jalen Milroe (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 220 yards on 14/21 passing while his QB rating was 176.6. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 10.5. Alabama allowed 38 running attempts for 133 yards (3.5 yds per rush). The Crimson Tide secondary conceded a completion percentage of 68.3%, surrendering 271 yds on 28 out of 41 passing. The Crimson Tide finished the game with 358 yds and they ran 63 plays (5.7 yards per play). Alabama ran for 3.3 yds per carry, totaling 138 yards on 42 attempts.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Crimson Tide are sitting 51st in the nation scoring 30.6 points per outing. The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 366.6 yards per contest, which has them sitting 80th in Division 1. The Alabama offense has 393 yards of penalties on 49 infractions, which ranks 57th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 5 interceptions while conceding 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 149 first downs. During this campaign so far, the Crimson Tide have thrown for a total of 1,756 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 219.5 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 78th in the nation. They are averaging 147.1 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,177 yards in total.

Alabama has surrendered a total of 870 rushing yards (108.8 yards/game) in addition to 4 touchdowns via the rush on the season. They have given up 10 touchdowns through the air and 197.6 yards per outing, which puts them in 29th in college football. Their defense has tallied 3 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions on the year. The Crimson Tide defense has taken part in 536 plays, which ranks 70th in the nation. The Crimson Tide are allowing 16.5 points per game, ranking them 16th in Division 1. Overall, they have allowed 132 pts.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Crimson Tide college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Tigers +7

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