Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack Prediction, 9/29/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Louisville Cardinals vs NC State Wolfpack

Date: Friday, September 29, 2023

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, NC

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolfpack (+3)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

The NC State Wolfpack (3-1) host the Louisville Cardinals (4-0) at Carter-Finley Stadium on Friday, September 29, 2023. Louisville opens this contest as 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 54.5.

The Louisville Cardinals come into this game with a record of 4-0 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Cardinals faced the Boston College Eagles and went home with a win by a final score of 56-28. Jack Plummer finished 18/21 with 388 yds passing and 5 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 319.5 and finished the contest with no interceptions. Jawhar Jordan was the leader on the ground for the Cardinals with 18 carries for 134 yards (7.4 yds per attempt). In all, they tallied 62 plays which converted into 582 yds. The Louisville Cardinals ended up running the ball 41 different times and tallied 194 yds, which came out to an average of 4.7 yards per carry. On the ground, the Cardinals conceded 132 yds on 31 tries, which is 4.3 yards per run allowed. Louisville surrendered 21 pass completions on 41 tries for a total of 295 yds, and a completion rate of 51.2%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Louisville Cardinals have an average of 43.0 points per outing. Offensively they average 237.3 yards on the ground which is 5th in the country. The Cardinals have racked up 2,168 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Louisville has amassed 11 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns. Louisville has amassed 92 1st downs as a team, and they have been flagged for 24 penalties for 203 yds. They have surrendered the football 4 times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Cardinals have conceded 979 yards which ranks them 91st in college football. They have conceded 244.8 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 55.7%. Overall, they are giving up 359.5 yards per game which ranks them 68th in Division 1. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing an average of 3.6 yards per rushing attempt and 114.8 rushing yards per game so far this season. Overall, they have given up 459 running yards through 4 outings. The Cardinals are ranked 41st in Division 1 when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 19.0 points per game.

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The Wolfpack come into this game with a record of 3-1 this year. In their last game, the Wolfpack walked away with a victory by a final of 24-21 when they faced the Virginia Cavaliers. Brennan Armstrong (2 TDs) ended the game with 180 yards on 15/30 through the air while his QB rate was 115.7. He threw 1 pick and his Y/A was 6.0. Brennan Armstrong carried the rock 15 times for 64 yards, finishing the contest with 4.3 yds per carry for NC State. The Wolfpack ended up finishing with 319 yds while they ran 67 plays (4.8 yards per play). NC State ran for 3.9 yards per tote, finishing with 139 yds on 36 carries. NC State gave up 41 run attempts for 113 yards (2.8 yards per rush). The Wolfpack pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.0%, surrendering 271 yds on 18 out of 30 passing.

The NC State Wolfpack maintain an average of 381.3 yards per contest, ranking them 78th in D-1. The NC State offense has compiled 182 penalty yards on 22 infractions, which is 78th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have an average of 166.5 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 666 yards overall. They have given away 4 picks while conceding 0 fumbles and they have obtained 90 first downs. In relation to their ability to score points, the Wolfpack rank 67th in the country with 29.3 points per outing. For the year so far, the Wolfpack currently have a total of 859 passing yards as well as an average of 214.8 throwing yards per contest, putting them at 95th in college football.

The Wolfpack are giving up 21.8 PPG, which has them sitting 56th in college football. NC State has conceded a total of 458 yards on the ground (114.5 yards per game) as well as 4 touchdowns via the rush this year. This year, they have conceded 87 total points. They have conceded 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 211.5 yards/outing, which has them in 58th in the country. The Wolfpack defense has been on the field for 230 plays, which is 12th in Division 1. They have totaled 1 fumble recovered and 4 picks this season.

Who will win tonight's Cardinals/Wolfpack college football game against the spread?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take the Wolfpack +3 and under 54.5 total points

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