Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Liberty Flames Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs Liberty Flames

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Williams Stadium in Lynchburg, VA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Flames (-18)

Total/Over-Under: 57.5

Williams Stadium is the site where the Liberty Flames (8-0) will compete against the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-6) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Louisiana Tech opens this contest as 18-point dogs. The total is set at 57.5.

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs head into this matchup 3-6 for this year. In their last contest, the Bulldogs faced the New Mexico State Aggies and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-24. Hank Bachmeier connected on 20/27 with 238 yds passing and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 160.3 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Keldric Moody was the leader on the ground for the Bulldogs with 9 carries for 55 yards (6.1 yards per carry). The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs ended up rushing 43 different times and totaled 133 yds, which is an average of 3.1 yards per carry. For the game, they had 70 plays which converted into 371 yards. Louisiana Tech surrendered 10 pass completions on 19 tries for a total of 95 yards, and a completion rate of 52.6%. When it came to stopping the run, the Bulldogs conceded 232 yards on 40 tries, which averages out to 5.8 yds per run allowed.

The Bulldogs currently have 3,435 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Louisiana Tech has earned 12 touchdowns through the air and 16 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 12 times. Louisiana Tech has accrued 181 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 68 infractions for 603 yds. As a unit they average 139.1 yards in the run game which is 87th in Division 1. Concerning putting the ball in the endzone, the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have an average of 26.3 points per contest.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Bulldogs are giving up 1,552 yds which has them ranked 24th in Division 1. They have conceded 172.4 yards per outing via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 54.2%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 375.0 yards/contest putting them at 66th in Division 1. They have yielded 13 touchdowns via the pass and 17 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.0 yards per tote and 202.6 rushing yards per game for the season. For the season, they have allowed 1,823 yards on the ground through 9 contests. The Bulldogs are ranked 82nd in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 27.4 points per game.

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The Flames come into this matchup with a record of 8-0 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Flames walked away with a victory by a final of 42-29 when they played the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Kaidon Salter (3 TDs) finished the contest with 169 yards on 10/15 passing while his quarterback rate was 227.3. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.3. Kaidon Salter ran the football 13 times for 117 yards, walking away from the game with 9.0 yds per attempt for Liberty. Liberty rushed for 6.0 yards per attempt, finishing with 323 yds on 54 carries. The Flames finished the contest with a total of 492 yds while they ran 69 plays (7.1 yards per play). The Flames pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 68.2%, relinquishing 365 yards on 30 for 44 passing. Liberty surrendered 22 attempts on the ground for 119 yds (5.4 yards per rush).

The Liberty Flames hold an average of 488.4 yards per outing, ranking them 8th in the country. The Liberty offense has accrued 551 yards of penalties on 52 violations, which is good for 45th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They maintain an average of 280.6 rushing yards per game and have run for 2,245 yards in total. They have thrown 3 picks while allowing opponents to recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to record 194 1st downs. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Flames rank 14th in the country scoring 37.0 points per contest. For the year so far, the Flames have thrown for a total of 1,662 passing yards along with holding an average of 207.8 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 93rd in Division 1.

Liberty has yielded a total of 939 yards on the ground (117.4 yards/game) in addition to 5 touchdowns via the rush for the season. They have conceded 16 touchdowns via the pass as well as 233.1 yards/game, which has them ranked 74th in the nation. They have earned 3 fumbles recovered and 16 picks on the year. The Flames defense has been on the field for 513 plays, which is good for 32nd in D-1. The Flames are conceding 20.9 PPG, which puts them 37th in Division 1. This season, they have allowed 167 total points.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Flames college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs +18

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