Liberty Flames vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, 10/24/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Date: Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Location: Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium in Bowling Green, KY

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Hilltoppers (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 60.5

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium is the location where the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-3) will compete against the Liberty Flames (7-0) on Tuesday, October 24, 2023. Liberty opens this contest as 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 60.5.

The Liberty Flames head into this game 7-0 this season. In their last contest, the Flames played the MTSU Blue Raiders and earned the victory with a final of 42-35. Kaidon Salter was the leader on the ground for the Flames with 16 totes for 160 yds (10.0 yds per attempt). Kaidon Salter connected on 12/20 with 140 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 141.8 and finished the contest with 1 interception. In the running game, the Flames gave up 96 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per run allowed. Liberty allowed 24 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 332 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.9%. When the final whistle blew, they had 81 plays which converted into 541 yards. The Liberty Flames ended up running the ball 61 different times and had 401 yards, which is an average of 6.6 yards per tote.

Regarding scoring, the Liberty Flames are averaging 36.3 PPG. Offensively they maintain an average of 274.6 yards in the run game which has them sitting 2nd in college football. The Flames have earned 3,415 yards in total this season. When it comes to scoring, Liberty has compiled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 16 touchdowns via the ground. Liberty has compiled 167 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 48 penalties for 496 yards. They have surrendered the ball 9 different times.

The Flames are ranked 33rd in Division 1 concerning team defense, allowing 19.7 points per contest. They are giving up 4.0 yards per run and 117.1 rushing yards per game for the year. During this campaign, they have given up 820 rushing yards through 7 games. When talking about passing yards, the Flames have conceded 1,500 yards which ranks them 43rd in the country. They have yielded 214.3 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 53.8%. For the season, they are giving up 331.4 yards/outing which has them sitting 33rd in the country. They have given up 12 touchdowns through the air as well as 5 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Hilltoppers step onto the field holding a record of 4-3 for this season. In their last game, the Hilltoppers took a loss by a final score of 20-17 against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. Elijah Young carried the ball 10 times for 39 yds, ending the game with 3.9 yards per carry for Western Kentucky. Austin Reed (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 250 yds on 24/48 passing while his quarterback rating was 103.3. He had 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 5.2. Western Kentucky relinquished 55 rush attempts for 262 yds (4.8 yards per carry). The Hilltoppers pass defense allowed a completion rate of 57.5%, relinquishing 222 yards on 23 for 40 passing. The Hilltoppers finished with a total of 339 yds on 72 plays (4.7 yards per play). Western Kentucky rushed for 3.7 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 89 yds on 24 attempts.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are averaging 382.7 yards/outing, ranking them 75th in D-1. The Western Kentucky offense has racked up 267 yds of penalties on 32 infractions, which has them sitting 118th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They maintain an average of 100.3 run yards per game and have rushed for 702 yards for this season. They have tossed 5 interceptions while losing 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 131 1st downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Hilltoppers are ranking 52nd in the nation maintaining an average of 30.0 points per game. During this campaign to this point, the Hilltoppers have thrown for 1,977 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 282.4 passing yards per outing, putting them at 30th in the nation.

Western Kentucky has conceded a total of 1,426 rushing yards (203.7 yards per outing) as well as 14 touchdowns on the ground on the season. They have allowed 9 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 259.9 yards/contest, which has them in 116th in the country. Their defense has tallied 9 fumbles recovered and 9 picks on the season. The Hilltoppers defense has participated in 548 plays, which is good for 119th in college football. The Hilltoppers are surrendering 27.7 points per game, ranking them 88th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have given up 194 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Hilltoppers college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Hilltoppers -1

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