Liberty Flames vs UTEP Miners Prediction, 11/25/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs UTEP Miners

Date: Saturday, November 25, 2023

Location: Sun Bowl in El Paso, TX

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Miners (+17)

Total/Over-Under: 59

The UTEP Miners (3-8) host the Liberty Flames (11-0) at Sun Bowl on Saturday, November 25, 2023. Liberty is 17-point favorites. The total is set at 59.

The Liberty Flames head into this matchup 11-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Flames stepped onto the field against the UMass Minutemen and walked away with a win by a score of 49-25. Kaidon Salter led the offense in rushing for the Flames with 13 carries for 118 yards (9.1 yards per carry). Kaidon Salter connected on 11/16 with 225 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rate of 215.6 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Against the run, the Flames conceded 98 yards on 21 tries, which calculates to 4.7 yards per rush surrendered. Liberty gave up 25 completions on 41 attempts for a total of 293 yds, and a completion rate of 61.0%. In all, they had 73 plays which totaled 549 yds. The Liberty Flames ended up rushing 51 different times and tallied 324 yards, earning them an average of 6.4 yards per attempt.

The Flames have earned 5,513 yards in total for the season. When it comes to scoring, Liberty has compiled 28 passing touchdowns and 29 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 13 different times. Liberty has recorded 274 first downs as a team, and they have been hurt by 69 penalties for 710 yds. As a team they're maintaining an average of 282.2 yards on the ground which ranks them 1st in Division 1. When talking about getting in the endzone, the Liberty Flames are averaging 39.9 PPG.

The Flames rank 39th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 21.1 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.8 yards per rush on the ground and 111.3 yards on the ground per game so far this year. For the year, they have allowed 1,224 rushing yards through 11 games. In terms of passing yards, the Flames have conceded 2,639 yards which ranks them 95th in D-1. They have yielded 239.9 yards per contest through the air and conceding a completion percentage of 57.5%. In total, they have allowed 351.2 yards per outing ranking them 44th in D-1. They have granted 21 touchdowns through the air as well as 8 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Miners come into this matchup with a record of 3-8 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Miners took a defeat with a final score of 34-30 when they faced the MTSU Blue Raiders. Deion Hankins carried the ball 13 times for 48 yds, ending the game with 3.7 yds per attempt for UTEP. Cade McConnell (2 TDs) walked away from the contest with 364 yards on 24/41 through the air while his QB rate was 144.3. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 8.9. UTEP conceded 35 run attempts for 185 yards (5.3 yds per carry). The Miners pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 51.4%, relinquishing 242 yards on 18 for 35 passing. The Miners finished the contest with a total of 453 yds on 72 plays (6.3 yds per play). UTEP rushed for 2.9 yards per tote, totaling 89 yds on 31 carries.

The UTEP Miners are averaging 370.3 yards per game, which has them sitting 79th in the country. The UTEP offense has racked up 681 penalty yards on 77 violations, ranking them 21st in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have an average of 152.9 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,682 yards for this season. They have tossed 11 picks while surrendering 6 fumbles and they have been able to record 206 1st downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Miners sit 120th in the nation by tallying 19.2 PPG. For the season to this point, the Miners have earned 2,391 yards through the air not to mention an average of 217.4 passing yards per outing, which is ranked 81st in college football.

The Miners are conceding 27.3 PPG, which puts them 83rd in D-1. UTEP has conceded a total of 1,986 yards via the ground game (180.5 yards per outing) in addition to 23 touchdowns on the ground on the year. In total, they have conceded 300 total points. They have conceded 15 touchdowns through the air and 198.9 yards/outing, which has them in 28th in the country. The Miners defense has taken part in 690 plays, which ranks 26th in Division 1. They have 3 fumbles and 6 picks this year.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Miners college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Miners +17

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