Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, 1/1/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks

Date: Monday, January 1, 2024

Location: State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Ducks (-15)

Total/Over-Under: 64.5

The Liberty Flames (13-0) are en route to State Farm Stadium on Monday, January 1, 2024 where they will try to defeat the Oregon Ducks (11-2) in the Vrbo Fiesta Bowl. Liberty opens this contest as 15-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 64.5.

The Liberty Flames head into this game 13-0 this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Flames faced the New Mexico State Aggies and went home with a win by a final score of 49-35. Kaidon Salter was the rushing leader for the Flames with 12 carries for 165 yds (13.8 yards per carry). Kaidon Salter finished 20/25 with 319 yards passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 213.6 and ended the contest with no interceptions. In the running game, the Flames conceded 177 yards on 28 attempts, which is 6.3 yards per run surrendered. Liberty allowed 21 completions on 35 tries for 322 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. On the day, they tallied 70 plays for 712 yds. The Liberty Flames ran the ball 45 times and accounted for 393 yds, which earned them an average of 8.7 yards per carry.

The Flames have earned 6,694 total yards this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Liberty has compiled 31 touchdowns via the pass and 39 touchdowns on the ground. They have given the ball to the opposition 16 different times. Liberty has a total of 333 first downs offensively, and they have committed 82 infractions for 826 yds. As a unit they're averaging 302.9 yards rushing giving them a rank of 1st in college football. Concerning putting points on the board, the Liberty Flames hold an average of 40.8 points per outing.

Regarding yards through the air, the Flames are giving up 3,182 yards which ranks them 120th in the country. They have surrendered 244.8 yards per game via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 57.3%. Over the course of this year, they are giving up 356.4 yards per contest ranking them 47th in D-1. They have granted 26 touchdowns by air in addition to 12 touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per rush on the ground and 111.6 rushing yards per contest for the season. Overall, they have allowed 1,451 yards via the running game in 13 games. The Flames sit in 45th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 22.7 points per game.

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The Ducks step onto the field holding a record of 11-2 this year. In their last game, the Ducks walked away with a loss by a score of 34-31 when they faced the Washington Huskies. Bo Nix carried the football 6 times for 69 yds, ending the game with 11.5 yds per attempt for Oregon. Bo Nix (3 TDs) ended the contest with 239 yds on 21/34 through the air while his quarterback rate was 144. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 7.0. Oregon gave up 37 rushing attempts for 157 yards (4.2 yards per rush). The Ducks secondary allowed a completion percentage of 70.7%, relinquishing 324 yds on 29 for 41 passing. The Ducks finished the contest with a total of 363 yards on 54 plays (6.7 yards per play). Oregon ended up running for 6.2 yards per tote, totaling 124 yds on 20 carries.

In relation to the points being put on the board, the Ducks currently sit 2nd in the country by tallying 44.2 points per contest. The Oregon Ducks maintain an average of 526.6 yards per outing, ranking them 2nd in D-1. The Oregon offense has accrued 828 yds of penalties on 91 infractions, which has them sitting 10th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 5 picks while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 345 1st downs. For the season to this point, the Ducks have compiled 4,456 yards via the pass in addition to an average of 342.8 passing yards per contest, which is ranked 2nd in the country. They maintain an average of 183.8 run yards per game and have run for 2,389 yards for the year.

Oregon has given up a total of 1,268 yards rushing (97.5 yards per contest) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing on the year. They have conceded 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 222.8 yards/game, which has them ranked 63rd in the nation. Their defense has earned 5 fumbles recovered and 10 interceptions over the course of the season. The Ducks defense has been on the field for 841 plays, which is 90th in D-1. The Ducks are allowing 17.3 points per game, which has them 11th in college football. This year, they have allowed 225 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Flames/Ducks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Flames +15

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