Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
Location: Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS
TV: SEC Network
Odds/Point Spread: Bulldogs (+2)
Total/Over-Under: 46
Davis Wade Stadium is the site where the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-4) will meet the Kentucky Wildcats (5-3) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Mississippi State opens this game as 2-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 46.
The Kentucky Wildcats head into this game 5-3 for this season. In their last contest, the Wildcats faced the Tennessee Volunteers and went home with a loss by a final score of 33-27. Devin Leary went 28/39 with 372 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rating of 168.8 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Re'Mahn Davis was the rushing leader for the Wildcats with 16 carries for 42 yards (2.6 yds per attempt). For the game, they had 63 plays for 444 yards. The Kentucky Wildcats ran the football 24 times and accumulated 72 yds, which came out to an average of 3.0 yds per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Wildcats conceded 253 yds on 47 attempts, which calculates to 5.4 yds per run surrendered. Kentucky surrendered 18 completions on 21 tries for 228 yds, and a completion rate of 85.7%.
Concerning scoring, the Kentucky Wildcats hold an average of 30.8 PPG. Offensively they're holding an average of 145.0 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 81st in D-1. The Wildcats have earned 2,909 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Kentucky has compiled 16 touchdowns via the pass and 12 rushing touchdowns. Kentucky has tallied 151 1st downs, and they have committed 58 infractions for 500 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 10 different times.
In terms of passing yardage, the Wildcats are giving up 1,984 yards which puts them in 101st in Division 1. They have allowed 248.0 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 68.9%. In total, they have allowed 363.4 yards per contest which puts them 58th in the nation. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns by air as well as 9 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing 3.5 yards per rushing attempt and 115.4 rushing yards per game this season. During this campaign, they have conceded 923 rushing yards through 8 games. The Wildcats sit in 61st in Division 1 concerning team defense, giving up 24.8 PPG.
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The Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 4-4 for this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 27-13 when they played the Auburn Tigers. Mike Wright (1 TD) walked away from the contest with 161 yds on 16/32 passing while his quarterback rating was 96.3. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 5.0. Mike Wright carried the football 14 times for 63 yards, finishing the contest with 4.5 yds per attempt for Mississippi State. Mississippi State ran the ball for 5.3 yards per tote, finishing with 184 yards on 35 carries. The Bulldogs finished with a total of 345 yards while running 67 plays (5.1 yds per play). The Bulldogs pass defense gave up a completion rate of 76.9%, relinquishing 230 yds on 20 for 26 passing. Mississippi State conceded 36 rushing attempts for 186 yds (5.2 yards per carry).
The Mississippi State Bulldogs average 350.4 yards per contest, which has them sitting 95th in the country. The Mississippi State offense has 393 penalty yds on 44 violations, which ranks them 87th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They hold an average of 152.6 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,221 yards for the season. They have given away 6 picks while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have obtained 138 1st downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Bulldogs are sitting 86th in the country averaging 25.1 points per game. Over the course of the season to this point, the Bulldogs currently sit at 1,582 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 197.8 passing yards per outing, putting them at 104th in college football.
The Bulldogs are conceding 25.9 PPG, which has them 70th in the nation. Mississippi State has surrendered a total of 1,079 yards via the ground game (134.9 yards per game) as well as 10 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this year. This season, they have allowed 207 total points. They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air as well as 238.5 yards/contest, which has them sitting 90th in Division 1. The Bulldogs defense has been on the field for 532 plays, which is good for 64th in Division 1. They have totaled 4 fumbles recovered and 6 picks for the year.
Who will win tonight's Wildcats/Bulldogs college football game against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take the Wildcats -2
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Additional Resources:
Mississippi State Bulldogs - Twitter
Kentucky Wildcats - Twitter