James Madison Dukes vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 12/23/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: James Madison Dukes vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, December 23, 2023

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, TX

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (+7)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

The Air Force Falcons (8-4) will try to beat the James Madison Dukes (11-1) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Saturday, December 23, 2023 in the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl. Air Force opens as 7-point dogs. The betting total is set at 45.5.

The James Madison Dukes come into this game with a record of 11-1 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Dukes faced off with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and walked away with a win by a score of 56-14. Ty Son Lawton was the rushing leader for the Dukes with 14 carries for 73 yards (5.2 yards per carry). Jordan McCloud connected on 26/35 with 324 yards passing and 5 TDs. He had a QB rating of 193.5 and ended the game with 1 interception. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Dukes conceded 74 yds on 25 attempts, which is an average of 3.0 yds per rush allowed. James Madison conceded 21 completions on 29 attempts for a total of 254 yds, and a completion rate of 72.4%. In all, they ran 69 plays which gave them 481 yards. The James Madison Dukes ran the football 34 times and had 157 yards, which is an average of 4.6 yds per attempt.

When talking about putting points on the board, the James Madison Dukes are averaging 35.2 PPG. As a unit they're averaging 143.2 yards in the run game which has them sitting 85th in the country. The Dukes have attained 5,164 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, James Madison has compiled 34 touchdowns through the air and 17 touchdowns via the ground. James Madison has amassed 260 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 70 infractions for 511 yards. They have turned the football over 14 different times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Dukes are giving up 3,205 yards which has them sitting in 121st in the country. They have allowed 267.1 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 60.6%. During the season, they are giving up 328.6 yards/outing ranking them 29th in the nation. They have conceded 16 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 10 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.1 yards per tote and 61.5 rushing yards per game on the campaign. In total, they have allowed 738 running yards through 12 games. The Dukes are sitting in 18th in D-1 in terms of team defense, giving up 18.5 PPG.

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The Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 8-4 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Falcons went home defeated by a final of 27-19 when they played the Boise State Broncos. Jensen Jones finished the contest with 35 yards on 1/6 passing while his quarterback rate was 65.7. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.8. Dylan Carson carried the football 16 times for 104 yds, walking away from the contest with 6.5 yards per attempt for Air Force. The Falcons finished the contest with 337 yards while they ran 63 plays (5.3 yards per play). Air Force rushed for 4.6 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 206 yards on 45 attempts. Air Force relinquished 38 attempts on the ground for 181 yds (4.8 yards per carry). The Falcons secondary allowed a completion percentage of 76.5%, surrendering 228 yds on 13 for 17 passing.

The Air Force Falcons are averaging 364.1 yards per contest, which is good for 81st in D-1. The Air Force offense has racked up 322 penalty yds on 40 infractions, which is 131st in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They average 275.8 rushing yards per game and have run for 3,310 yards for the season. They have thrown 6 interceptions while conceding 11 fumbles and they have been able to earn 238 first downs. Regarding the points being put on the board, the Falcons are ranking 65th in the country holding an average of 27.6 points per outing. During the season thus far, the Falcons have thrown for 1,060 passing yards in addition to holding an average of 88.3 passing yards per outing, which has them ranked 133rd in the country.

The Falcons are conceding 17.9 points per contest, ranking them 14th in the country. Air Force has allowed a total of 1,156 yards on the ground (96.3 yards per game) in addition to 11 touchdowns via the rush on the year. Overall, they have conceded 215 points. They have allowed 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 181.0 yards/outing, ranking them 13th in D-1. The Falcons defense has taken part in 686 plays, which ranks them 4th in Division 1. They have tallied 4 fumbles recovered and 10 picks this year.

Who will win tonight's Dukes/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons +7

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