Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: McLane Stadium in Waco, TX

TV: BIG12|ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Bears (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 47

McLane Stadium is where the Baylor Bears (3-4) will take on the Iowa State Cyclones (4-3) on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Baylor opens this contest as 2-point favorites. The total comes in at 47.

The Iowa State Cyclones head into this matchup 4-3 for this year. In their last contest, the Cyclones faced the Cincinnati Bearcats and took home the win by a score of 30-10. Rocco Becht finished 15/25 with 241 yds passing and 2 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 167.4 and ended the game without throwing an interception. Eli Sanders led the offense in rushing for the Cyclones with 16 carries for 52 yards (3.3 yds per carry). The Iowa State Cyclones ended up rushing 38 times and totaled 123 yards, which is an average of 3.2 yards per attempt. In the game, they tallied 63 plays for 364 yards. Iowa State surrendered 15 completions on 29 tries for a total of 99 yards, and a completion rate of 51.7%. On the ground, the Cyclones conceded 115 yards on 33 tries, which is an average of 3.5 yds per run allowed.

The Cyclones currently have 2,302 total yards for the season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Iowa State has totaled 12 touchdowns through the air and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have given the ball to the opposition 5 different times. Iowa State has compiled 111 first downs as an offense, and they have been hurt by 33 infractions for 306 yards. As a team they are averaging 117.3 yards in the run game ranking this team at 107th in the country. Regarding getting in the endzone, the Iowa State Cyclones have an average of 23.0 points per outing.

The Cyclones rank 36th in the country when it comes to team defense, giving up 20.0 PPG. They are allowing an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 131.1 rushing yards per contest for the campaign. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 918 running yards through 7 games. When talking about yards through the air, the Cyclones have given up 1,387 yds which puts them in 22nd in Division 1. They have allowed 198.1 yards per contest through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 54.1%. During the season, they have surrendered 329.3 yards per outing putting them at 28th in college football. They have allowed 10 touchdowns by air in addition to 4 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Bears come into this matchup with a record of 3-4 for this season. The last time they took the gridiron, the Bears went home victorious with a score of 32-29 when they played the Cincinnati Bearcats. Blake Shapen (1 TD) finished the game with 316 yards on 25/42 through the air while his QB rating was 130.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.5. Dominic Richardson carried the football 8 times for 37 yards, walking away from the game with 4.6 yds per carry for Baylor. Baylor rushed the ball for 2.9 yards per attempt, totaling 80 yards on 28 carries. The Bears finished with a total of 396 yards while they ran 70 plays (5.7 yards per play). The Bears pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.3%, relinquishing 162 yards on 19 for 31 passing. Baylor allowed 43 run attempts for 288 yards (6.7 yds per carry).

The Baylor Bears maintain an average of 400.3 yards/outing, ranking them 59th in D-1. The Baylor offense has accrued 181 penalty yards on 30 violations, which is 123rd in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They maintain an average of 115.6 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 809 yards for this season. They have thrown 4 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have earned 142 first downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Bears rank 99th in D-1 holding an average of 23.1 PPG. Over the course of the season thus far, the Bears have racked up 1,993 yards through the air as well as an average of 284.7 passing yards per outing, ranking them 28th in Division 1.

Baylor has surrendered a total of 1,394 yards rushing (199.1 yards/game) in addition to 16 touchdowns rushing on the season. They have allowed 11 touchdowns through the air and 199.3 yards per contest, ranking them 34th in the country. Their defense has earned 7 fumbles and 4 picks so far this season. The Bears defense has been on the field for 447 plays, which is good for 27th in the country. The Bears are conceding 30.0 points per game, ranking them 103rd in D-1. This season, they have allowed 210 points.

Who will win tonight's Cyclones/Bears college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Cyclones +2

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