Hawaii Warriors vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Hawaii Warriors vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Lobos (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

The Hawaii Warriors (2-5) are on their way to University Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will go up against the New Mexico Lobos (2-4). New Mexico is 2-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 59.5.

The Hawaii Warriors head into this matchup 2-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Warriors played the San Diego State Aztecs and went home with a loss by a final score of 41-34. Brayden Schager went 29/47 with 427 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 154.8 and ended the game with 1 pick. Nasjzae Bryant was the leader on the ground for the Warriors with 4 totes for 24 yards (6.0 yards per carry). The Hawaii Warriors ended up rushing 14 times and recorded 53 yards, which earned them an average of 3.8 yds per attempt. Overall, they tallied 62 plays which converted into 480 yards. Hawaii allowed 18 pass completions on 24 tries for a total of 221 yards, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. When it came to the battle of the line of scrimmage, the Warriors conceded 157 yds on 43 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per run allowed.

In terms of scoring, the Hawaii Warriors are sitting at 23.9 points per game. As a unit they're averaging 57.7 yards on the ground ranking them 133rd in D-1. The Warriors have earned 2,503 total yards for the year. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Hawaii has compiled 17 touchdowns via the pass and 3 rushing touchdowns. Hawaii has recorded 133 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 46 penalties for 401 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 13 times.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Warriors are allowing 1,472 yards which puts them in 71st in the country. They are giving up 210.3 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 62.0%. Overall, they are allowing 380.6 yards per contest which puts them 74th in D-1. They have given up 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 13 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for 4.8 yards per run and 170.3 rushing yards per contest this season. During the season, they have given up 1,192 rushing yards through 7 games. The Warriors are sitting in 124th in the country concerning team defense, giving up 35.6 points per game.

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The Lobos come into this game with a record of 2-4 for this season. For their last game, the Lobos went home defeated by a final of 52-24 when they faced the San Jose State Spartans. Dylan Hopkins ended the contest with 187 yards on 13/24 passing while his quarterback rating was 111.3. He threw 1 interception and his Y/A was 7.8. Jacory Croskey-Merritt carried the football 17 times for 68 yards, ending the contest with 4.0 yds per attempt for New Mexico. New Mexico rushed the football for 3.6 yds per attempt, finishing with 129 yds on 36 attempts. The Lobos finished the game with a total of 391 yards while running 66 plays (5.9 yds per play). The Lobos pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 47.1%, relinquishing 272 yds on 8 out of 17 through the air. New Mexico gave up 32 rushing attempts for 259 yards (8.1 yards per rush).

When discussing the points being put on the board, the Lobos are 74th in D-1 maintaining an average of 27.8 points per contest. The New Mexico Lobos maintain an average of 391.0 yards per contest, which has them sitting 69th in D-1. The New Mexico offense has racked up 529 penalty yds on 59 violations, ranking them 5th in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 5 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 130 first downs. Over the course of the season thus far, the Lobos have earned 1,315 passing yards as well as holding an average of 219.2 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 84th in Division 1. They hold an average of 171.8 run yards per game and have run for 1,031 yards for the season.

New Mexico has given up a total of 1,104 rushing yards (184.0 yards/game) and 9 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have allowed 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 241.8 yards/outing, ranking them 88th in the nation. Their defense has 2 fumbles recovered and 0 interceptions for the year. The Lobos defense has taken the field for 354 plays, ranking them 5th in college football. The Lobos are surrendering 34.5 PPG, which has them ranked 120th in the country. This year, they have given up 207 pts.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Lobos college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Lobos -2

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