Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (+1)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The San Jose State Spartans (4-5) will try to beat the Fresno State Bulldogs (8-1) at CEFCU Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Fresno State opens this game as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 49.5.

The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game with a record of 8-1 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Bulldogs faced the Boise State Broncos and took home the win by a score of 37-30. Mikey Keene connected on 24/38 with 290 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 130.7 and walked away from the contest with 1 interception. Malik Sherrod was the leader on the ground for the Bulldogs with 21 carries for 132 yds (6.3 yds per carry). When all was said and done, they tallied 69 plays which gave them 441 yds. The Fresno State Bulldogs ran the football 29 times and accounted for 138 yards, earning them an average of 4.8 yards per attempt. When it came to stopping the run, the Bulldogs gave up 177 yards on 34 tries, which is 5.2 yds per run allowed. Fresno State relinquished 24 completions on 46 attempts for a total of 311 yards, and a completion rate of 52.2%.

Regarding scoring, the Fresno State Bulldogs are averaging 34.0 points per game. As a team they maintain an average of 109.3 yards via the ground game which is 115th in the nation. The Bulldogs have racked up 3,663 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Fresno State has amassed 24 touchdowns through the air and 11 rushing touchdowns. Fresno State has tallied 203 1st downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 47 penalties for 424 yards. They have turned the football over 8 different times.

When it comes to yards through the air, the Bulldogs have allowed 2,085 yds which puts them in 72nd in D-1. They have given up 231.7 yards per game through the air in addition to giving up a completion percentage of 56.5%. Overall, they have given up 357.7 yards/contest which puts them 53rd in D-1. They have given up 14 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 9 touchdowns on the ground. They are giving up 3.6 yards per run and 126.0 yards on the ground per contest on the year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,134 yards on the ground through 9 games. The Bulldogs are ranked 40th in D-1 regarding team defense, conceding 21.7 PPG.

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The Spartans come into this matchup with a record of 4-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Spartans got the victory with a final of 35-0 when they played the Hawaii Warriors. Chevan Cordeiro (2 TDs) finished the game with 251 yds on 16/26 through the air while his quarterback rate was 168. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 9.7. Kairee Robinson carried the ball 17 times for 146 yards, ending the contest with 8.6 yds per attempt for San Jose State. San Jose State ran the ball for 4.8 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 217 yds on 45 carries. The Spartans finished the game with 468 yds on 71 plays (6.6 yards per play). The Spartans secondary allowed a completion percentage of 54.1%, relinquishing 146 yds on 20 out of 37 passing. San Jose State relinquished 20 run attempts for 52 yds (2.6 yds per carry).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Spartans are ranking 31st in the country with an average of 33.0 points per contest. The San Jose State Spartans maintain an average of 397.3 yards per outing, which ranks them 59th in the nation. The San Jose State offense has accrued 405 penalty yds on 51 violations, which has them sitting 75th in Division 1 in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 3 interceptions while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 187 first downs. For the year so far, the Spartans have compiled 2,069 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 229.9 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 67th in D-1. They average 167.4 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,507 yards for the year.

The Spartans are relinquishing 27.4 PPG, which puts them 81st in the nation. San Jose State has surrendered a total of 1,627 yards via the ground game (180.8 yards per outing) in addition to 19 touchdowns by way of the ground game for the season. This season, they have surrendered 247 points. They have allowed 13 touchdowns through the air as well as 178.8 yards/outing, which has them in 14th in the country. The Spartans defense has taken part in 574 plays, which ranks them 33rd in the nation. They have totaled 8 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions on the season.

Who will win tonight's Bulldogs/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Bulldogs -1

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