Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field in Columbia, MO

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Tigers (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 59.5

The Missouri Tigers (8-2) will try to beat the Florida Gators (5-5) at Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Florida opens this game as 10-point underdogs. The total has been set at 59.5.

The Florida Gators step onto the field holding a record of 5-5 this year. In their last game, the Gators played the LSU Tigers and took a loss by a final of 52-35. Graham Mertz finished 26/38 with 311 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rating of 145.9 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. Trevor Etienne led the offense in rushing for the Gators with 18 carries for 99 yds (5.5 yds per carry). The Florida Gators rushed the ball a total of 42 different times and accounted for 181 yards, which had them averaging 4.3 yards per tote. Overall, they tallied 80 plays which totaled 492 yds. Florida surrendered 17 pass completions on 26 attempts for a total of 372 yds, and a completion rate of 65.4%. Against the run, the Gators conceded 329 yards on 35 attempts, which averages out to 9.4 yds per rush allowed.

The Gators have tallied 4,177 total yards this year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Florida has totaled 18 touchdowns through the air and 18 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the ball 9 different times. Florida has a total of 224 first downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 62 penalties for 457 yards. As a team they're maintaining an average of 139.1 yards in the run game ranking them 89th in the nation. Concerning putting points on the board, the Florida Gators have an average of 29.5 points per game.

The Gators rank 79th in D-1 regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 27.4 PPG. They are allowing an average of 5.0 yards per run and 160.0 rushing yards per contest this season. In total, they have given up 1,600 rushing yards through 10 outings. When talking about passing yardage, the Gators are giving up 2,255 yds which has them ranked 67th in Division 1. They are conceding 225.5 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 61.7%. For the year, they are surrendering 385.5 yards/game which has them sitting 75th in D-1. They have surrendered 17 touchdowns through the air and 16 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Tigers head into this matchup 8-2 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Tigers took home the win by a final score of 36-7 when they faced the Tennessee Volunteers. Brady Cook (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 275 yds on 18/24 passing while his quarterback rating was 176.7. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 11.5. Cody Schrader carried the football 35 times for 205 yds, finishing the game with 5.9 yards per carry for Missouri. Missouri ran the football for 5.0 yds per attempt, totaling 255 yards on 51 carries. The Tigers finished the contest with a total of 530 yds on 75 plays (7.1 yds per play). The Tigers secondary allowed a completion rate of 64.7%, relinquishing 267 yards on 22 for 34 through the air. Missouri allowed 23 rushing attempts for 83 yards (3.6 yards per carry).

The Missouri Tigers hold an average of 443.7 yards per outing, ranking them 26th in Division 1. The Missouri offense has racked up 544 penalty yds on 72 infractions, which is good for 19th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They are averaging 159.8 yards via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,598 yards overall. They have thrown 7 picks while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 226 1st downs. When it comes to this team's ability to score points, the Tigers are ranking 31st in the nation maintaining an average of 32.8 points per outing. For the season so far, the Tigers have earned 2,839 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 283.9 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 23rd in the country.

Missouri has conceded a total of 1,112 yards on the ground (111.2 yards per contest) and 5 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have allowed the opposition 19 touchdowns through the air as well as 232.9 yards per contest, ranking them 76th in the nation. Their defense has tallied 3 fumbles and 8 picks so far this year. The Tigers defense has taken the field for 641 plays, which ranks them 37th in college football. The Tigers are allowing 22.3 points per game, which puts them 44th in the nation. This season, they have relinquished 223 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Gators/Tigers college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers -10

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