East Carolina Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: East Carolina Pirates vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (-3)

Total/Over-Under: 33.5

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is the location where the Navy Midshipmen (4-5) will go up against the East Carolina Pirates (2-8) on Saturday, November 18, 2023. East Carolina opens this game as 3-point underdogs. The betting total is set at 33.5.

The East Carolina Pirates head into this game 2-8 for this year. In their last game, the Pirates went up against the Florida Atlantic Owls and earned the victory with a final of 22-7. Gerald Green was the rushing leader for the Pirates with 15 totes for 33 yds (2.2 yds per carry). Alex Flinn went 18/30 with 156 yards passing. He had a quarterback rating of 97 and ended the contest with 1 pick. When it came to stopping the run, the Pirates conceded 21 yds on 31 attempts, which averages out to 0.7 yds per run allowed. East Carolina relinquished 24 completions on 37 tries for 151 yards, and a completion percentage of 64.9%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 68 plays which gave them 235 yards. The East Carolina Pirates ended up running the ball 38 different times and amassed 79 yds, earning them an average of 2.1 yds per carry.

The Pirates have earned 2,729 total yards this season. With reference to scoring touchdowns, East Carolina has earned 5 passing touchdowns and 11 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 12 times. East Carolina has accounted for 156 first downs, and they have been flagged for 60 penalties for 548 yards. As a team they have an average of 110.1 yards on the ground ranking them 115th in Division 1. When it comes to putting points on the board, the East Carolina Pirates have an average of 18.1 points per game.

When it comes to passing yards, the Pirates are conceding 2,231 yds which has them sitting in 60th in D-1. They have yielded 223.1 yards per game via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 59.6%. For the season, they have given up 337.4 yards per outing which puts them 38th in college football. They have conceded 17 touchdowns through the air as well as 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.2 yards per rush on the ground and 114.3 rushing yards per game on the season. Overall, they have conceded 1,143 yards via the running game in 10 contests. The Pirates are ranked 49th in the country regarding the opposition scoring, allowing 23.0 PPG.

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The Midshipmen head into this game 4-5 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Midshipmen took home the win by a final score of 31-6 against the UAB Blazers. Xavier Arline (1 touchdown) ended the contest with 94 yds on 7/10 through the air while his quarterback rate was 162. He had 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 9.4. Xavier Arline carried the rock 19 times for 109 yards, finishing the contest with 5.7 yards per attempt for Navy. The Midshipmen finished the contest with a total of 363 yards on 57 plays (6.4 yds per play). Navy ran for 5.7 yards per tote, totaling 269 yards on 47 carries. Navy relinquished 30 running attempts for 115 yards (3.8 yds per carry). The Midshipmen passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 69.4%, relinquishing 206 yds on 25 for 36 passing.

The Navy Midshipmen maintain an average of 307.2 yards per contest, which is good for 123rd in college football. The Navy offense has racked up 422 yds of penalties on 49 violations, which ranks 109th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 205.4 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 1,849 yards overall. They have given away 3 picks while conceding 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 130 1st downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Midshipmen are ranking 117th in college football averaging 19.7 points per outing. For the year thus far, the Midshipmen have a total of 916 yards through the air as well as an average of 101.8 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 132nd in the nation.

The Midshipmen are conceding 21.4 points per contest, which has them 42nd in the country. Navy has conceded a total of 1,189 yards rushing (132.1 yards per outing) as well as 9 touchdowns on the ground this season. Overall, they have allowed 193 points in total. They have conceded 14 touchdowns through the air in addition to 235.6 yards/outing, which has them sitting 84th in college football. The Midshipmen defense has been on the field for 584 plays, which ranks 5th in D-1. They have earned 11 fumbles and 8 picks for the year.

Who will win tonight's Pirates/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates +3

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