Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 11/18/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, November 18, 2023

Location: Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, VA

TV: CW NETWORK

Odds/Point Spread: Cavaliers (+4)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Virginia Cavaliers (2-8) are hosting the Duke Blue Devils (6-4) at Scott Stadium on Saturday, November 18, 2023. Virginia opens as 4-point dogs. The total has been set at 48.5.

The Duke Blue Devils head into this game 6-4 for this year. In their last matchup, the Blue Devils faced the North Carolina Tar Heels and ended up losing by a score of 47-45. Grayson Loftis went 16/28 with 189 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 149.2 and ended the contest without throwing an interception. Jordan Waters was the leader on the ground for the Blue Devils with 20 attempts for 113 yds (5.7 yds per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 72 plays which gave them a total of 379 yds. The Duke Blue Devils ran the football 43 different times and accumulated 179 yards, which had them averaging 4.2 yards per attempt. In the running game, the Blue Devils conceded 195 yards on 44 tries, which is 4.4 yds per run allowed. Duke conceded 28 completions on 43 attempts for 342 yds, and a completion rate of 65.1%.

The Blue Devils have racked up 3,449 yards in total this season. When it comes to distribution of touchdowns, Duke has totaled 10 touchdowns via the pass and 23 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the football 10 different times. Duke has recorded 181 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 58 infractions for 456 yards. As a team they're averaging 179.9 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 40th in D-1. When talking about putting the ball in the endzone, the Duke Blue Devils are averaging 27.6 points per contest.

The Blue Devils rank 23rd in the nation in terms of team defense, allowing 18.8 points per game. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and 154.3 rushing yards per game this season. Overall, they have given up 1,543 rushing yards through 10 games. Concerning passing yardage, the Blue Devils have given up 1,956 yds which puts them in 24th in Division 1. They have allowed 195.6 yards per contest via the pass and conceding a completion percentage of 61.1%. For the year, they are surrendering 349.9 yards/game putting them at 45th in the country. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns by air in addition to 14 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Cavaliers come into this matchup with a record of 2-8 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Cavaliers walked away with a loss by a score of 31-24 against the Louisville Cardinals. Anthony Colandrea (1 touchdown) finished the game with 314 yds on 20/31 through the air while his QB rating was 153.8. He tossed 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 10.1. Anthony Colandrea carried the ball 14 times for 89 yds, ending the game with 6.4 yds per carry for Virginia. Virginia rushed for 3.3 yards per tote, finishing the game with 120 yds on 36 attempts. The Cavaliers finished the contest with a total of 434 yards while running 68 plays (6.4 yds per play). The Cavaliers passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 67.9%, surrendering 243 yds on 19 out of 28 through the air. Virginia conceded 31 rushing attempts for 180 yds (5.8 yds per carry).

The Virginia Cavaliers average 369.1 yards per contest, which is good for 80th in the nation. The Virginia offense has compiled 514 penalty yds on 63 violations, which is good for 50th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 120.2 yards per game via the ground game and have run for 1,202 yards for the year. They have tossed 13 picks while losing 5 fumbles and they have been able to record 212 first downs. When looking at their ability to score points, the Cavaliers currently sit 96th in D-1 with an average of 23.2 PPG. For the season to this point, the Cavaliers have compiled 2,489 passing yards together with an average of 248.9 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 51st in the country.

The Cavaliers are allowing 32.3 PPG, which has them 114th in college football. Virginia has yielded a total of 1,803 yards via the ground game (180.3 yards per game) in addition to 23 touchdowns by way of the ground game this year. This season, they have relinquished 323 points in total. They have given up 14 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 217.9 yards per outing, which has them sitting 53rd in the nation. The Cavaliers defense has taken the field for 679 plays, which is good for 80th in the nation. They have earned 4 fumbles recovered and 7 interceptions this year.

Who will win tonight's Blue Devils/Cavaliers college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Cavaliers +4

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