Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Duke Blue Devils vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Seminoles (-16)

Total/Over-Under: 50

The Duke Blue Devils (5-1) are en route to Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, October 21, 2023 where they will take on the Florida State Seminoles (6-0). Duke opens as 16-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 50.

The Duke Blue Devils come into this matchup with a record of 5-1 for this season. In their last game, the Blue Devils faced off with the NC State Wolfpack and walked away with a win by a score of 24-3. Jordan Waters led the offense in rushing for the Blue Devils with 13 attempts for 123 yards (9.5 yards per carry). Henry Belvin IV finished 4/12 with 107 yards passing and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 146.6 and walked away from the game with 1 pick. Against the rush, the Blue Devils gave up 112 yards on 30 attempts, which is an average of 3.7 yards per rush surrendered. Duke relinquished 24 completions on 40 tries for a total of 193 yds, and a completion percentage of 60.0%. When the final whistle blew, they tallied 42 plays which gave them a total of 301 yds. The Duke Blue Devils ran the football 30 times and recorded 194 yds, which is an average of 6.5 yards per attempt.

In terms of putting the ball in the endzone, the Duke Blue Devils hold an average of 31.2 PPG. As a unit they maintain an average of 198.5 yards in the run game ranking them 19th in the country. The Blue Devils currently have 2,328 total yards for the year. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Duke has compiled 6 touchdowns via the pass and 17 rushing touchdowns. Duke has recorded 120 1st downs, and they have committed 28 penalties for 205 yds. They have turned the ball over 6 different times.

In terms of passing yards, the Blue Devils have given up 988 yards which ranks them 4th in the nation. They are conceding 164.7 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 55.0%. Over the course of this year, they have relinquished 298.5 yards/outing ranking them 16th in D-1. They have allowed 3 touchdowns via the pass and 4 touchdowns on the ground. Opposing teams are running for an average of 4.0 yards per rushing attempt and 133.8 rushing yards per game on the campaign. During this campaign, they have allowed 803 rushing yards through 6 games. The Blue Devils are ranked 4th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 9.8 PPG.

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The Seminoles step onto the field holding a record of 6-0 this year. For their last game, the Seminoles took home the win by a final score of 41-3 when they played the Syracuse Orange. Lawrance Toafili carried the rock 7 times for 93 yds, walking away from the contest with 13.3 yards per carry for Florida State. Jordan Travis (1 TD) ended the game with 284 yds on 23/37 passing while his quarterback rating was 135.6. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.7. Florida State relinquished 36 rush attempts for 124 yards (3.4 yds per carry). The Seminoles passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 38.7%, surrendering 137 yds on 12 out of 31 passing. The Seminoles finished with 535 yards while they ran 73 plays (7.3 yards per play). Florida State ran for 5.6 yards per tote, finishing the game with 191 yds on 34 carries.

When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Seminoles rank 7th in D-1 averaging 42.2 points per outing. The Florida State Seminoles maintain an average of 449.3 yards/game, which has them sitting 24th in Division 1. The Florida State offense has 363 yards of penalties on 40 violations, which ranks them 54th in the country in terms of hurting your team. They have thrown 1 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have tallied 126 1st downs. For the year so far, the Seminoles currently have a total of 1,632 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 272.0 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 36th in the nation. They maintain an average of 177.3 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 1,064 yards for the season.

Florida State has yielded a total of 848 yards via the ground game (141.3 yards per game) in addition to 8 touchdowns on the ground this year. They have allowed 3 touchdowns through the air and 221.5 yards per outing, which has them ranked 64th in the nation. Their defense has 4 fumbles and 4 picks for the season. The Seminoles defense has been on the field for 409 plays, which is good for 51st in the nation. The Seminoles are relinquishing 18.3 PPG, which has them sitting 23rd in the nation. In total, they have surrendered 110 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Blue Devils/Seminoles college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Seminoles -16

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