Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Prediction, 11/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos

Date: Tuesday, November 21, 2023

Location: Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, MI

TV: ESPNU

Odds/Point Spread: Broncos (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Waldo Stadium is where the Western Michigan Broncos (4-7) will go up against the Bowling Green Falcons (6-5) on Tuesday, November 21, 2023. Western Michigan opens this matchup as 2-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 54.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons step onto the field holding a record of 6-5 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Falcons played the Toledo Rockets and ended up losing by a score of 32-31. Connor Bazelak went 23/35 with 286 yds passing and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 143.8 and walked away from the game with no interceptions. Taron Keith was the best rusher for the Falcons with 15 totes for 64 yds (4.3 yards per attempt). When all was said and done, they had 81 plays which converted into 404 yards. The Bowling Green Falcons ended up rushing 35 times and tallied 95 yards, which is an average of 2.7 yds per carry. On the ground, the Falcons conceded 136 yards on 27 tries, which averages out to 5.0 yds per rush surrendered. Bowling Green relinquished 20 pass completions on 30 attempts for a total of 279 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Falcons have earned 3,574 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Bowling Green has earned 14 touchdowns via the pass and 19 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the football over 18 different times. Bowling Green has a total of 179 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 81 infractions for 736 yds. As a unit they have an average of 143.1 yards on the ground which has them sitting 88th in Division 1. Concerning putting points on the board, the Bowling Green Falcons hold an average of 25.6 PPG.

The Falcons rank 59th in college football when it comes to team defense, allowing 24.7 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and 137.4 yards on the ground per contest this year. Overall, they have allowed 1,511 rushing yards through 11 games. Concerning yards via the pass, the Falcons are giving up 2,189 yards which has them sitting in 28th in Division 1. They have conceded 199.0 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 59.6%. During the season, they have yielded 336.4 yards per contest which puts them 36th in the country. They have yielded 19 touchdowns by air in addition to 13 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Broncos come into this game with a record of 4-7 for this season. In their last game, the Broncos took a defeat with a final score of 24-0 against the NIU Huskies. Jalen Buckley ran the ball 9 times for 26 yds, ending the game with 2.9 yds per carry for Western Michigan. Hayden Wolff finished the contest with 182 yds on 18/31 through the air while his QB rate was 107.4. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 5.9. Western Michigan allowed 50 run attempts for 287 yards (5.7 yds per carry). The Broncos secondary conceded a completion percentage of 55.6%, surrendering 99 yds on 10 for 18 through the air. The Broncos finished the game with a total of 206 yds and they ran 49 plays (4.2 yds per play). Western Michigan rushed for 1.3 yards per tote, finishing with 24 yards on 18 carries.

The Western Michigan Broncos hold an average of 374.7 yards/game, ranking them 75th in the nation. The Western Michigan offense has accrued 732 yards of penalties on 83 violations, which has them ranked 13th in the nation in terms of helping out the other team. They hold an average of 155.5 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 1,711 yards in total. They have tossed 7 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have been able to record 221 first downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Broncos are sitting 80th in the country scoring 24.9 points per contest. For the year to this point, the Broncos have thrown for a total of 2,411 passing yards as well as holding an average of 219.2 throwing yards per outing, which has them ranked 77th in the country.

The Broncos are relinquishing 31.5 points per contest, ranking them 110th in the country. Western Michigan has conceded a total of 1,773 yards via the ground game (161.2 yards per outing) as well as 21 touchdowns via the rush on the year. This season, they have given up 347 points. They have given up 21 touchdowns through the air and 235.2 yards/outing, which has them in 87th in the nation. The Broncos defense has taken the field for 717 plays, which has them ranked 50th in the nation. They have tallied 8 fumbles and 8 interceptions this year.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Broncos college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Broncos +2

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