Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami RedHawks

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Yager Stadium in Oxford, OH

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: RedHawks (-10)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Bowling Green Falcons (2-3) are headed to Yager Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023 where they will try to defeat the Miami RedHawks (4-1). Miami opens as 10-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 49.5.

The Bowling Green Falcons head into this game 2-3 for this year. In their last game, the Falcons went up against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and notched a win by a score of 38-27. Terion Stewart led the offense in rushing for the Falcons with 26 carries for 138 yards (5.3 yards per carry). Connor Bazelak connected on 21/32 with 263 yds through the air and 1 touchdown. He had a QB rating of 145 and finished the contest without throwing an interception. Against the rush, the Falcons gave up 69 yards on 21 tries, which is an average of 3.3 yds per run allowed. Bowling Green allowed 23 pass completions on 37 tries for a total of 348 yds, and a completion rate of 62.2%. In all, they had 78 plays which converted into 438 yards. The Bowling Green Falcons ended up running the ball 45 times and accrued 175 yds, which is an average of 3.9 yards per tote.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Bowling Green Falcons have an average of 22.6 points per contest. As a team they average 137.6 yards rushing which is 93rd in the nation. The Falcons have tallied 1,684 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Bowling Green has earned 5 passing touchdowns and 7 rushing touchdowns. Bowling Green has tallied 90 first downs offensively, and they have been called for 39 penalties for 397 yds. They have surrendered the ball 12 different times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Falcons are allowing 1,085 yards which puts them in 65th in D-1. They are conceding 217.0 yards per game via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 64.8%. During the season, they have given up 354.2 yards per outing which has them sitting 56th in the nation. They have conceded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 3 touchdowns via the ground game. The opposition is running for an average of 4.2 yards per rush and 137.2 yards on the ground per game for the year. Over the course of this year, they have given up 686 yards via the running game in 5 games. The Falcons are ranked 95th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, conceding 29.0 points per game.

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The RedHawks head into this matchup 4-1 for this year. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the RedHawks got the victory with a final of 23-3 against the Kent State Golden Flashes. Rashad Amos ran the football 13 times for 54 yds, finishing the game with 4.2 yards per carry for Miami. Brett Gabbert (1 TD) finished the contest with 216 yards on 11/23 passing while his quarterback rate was 141.1. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.4. Miami gave up 35 rushing attempts for 36 yards (1.0 yards per carry). The RedHawks passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 60.0%, surrendering 170 yards on 18 for 30 through the air. The RedHawks ended up finishing with 292 yds while they ran 57 plays (5.1 yards per play). Miami rushed the ball for 2.2 yds per attempt, totaling 76 yards on 34 attempts.

Regarding how much they score, the RedHawks rank 52nd in college football maintaining an average of 32.0 points per outing. The Miami RedHawks are averaging 391.4 yards per outing, ranking them 69th in the nation. The Miami offense has accrued 226 penalty yds on 27 violations, which ranks them 76th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have given away 3 interceptions while letting opponents recover 2 fumbles and they have been able to tally 86 first downs. During the season thus far, the RedHawks have compiled 1,099 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 219.8 passing yards per outing, which ranks 88th in the nation. They are averaging 171.6 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 858 yards for the year.

Miami has given up a total of 698 yards rushing (139.6 yards per outing) as well as 5 touchdowns rushing this season. They have surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air as well as 239.2 yards/game, ranking them 87th in the country. Their defense has totaled 1 fumble recovery and 4 interceptions for the season. The RedHawks defense has taken the field for 344 plays, ranking them 99th in Division 1. The RedHawks are giving up 22.6 points per game, which has them 51st in Division 1. This season, they have relinquished 113 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/RedHawks college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the RedHawks -10

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