Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS

TV: BIG12|ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

Bill Snyder Family Stadium is where the Kansas State Wildcats (6-3) will try to defeat the Baylor Bears (3-6) on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Kansas State is 17-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under is 55.5.

The Baylor Bears come into this matchup with a record of 3-6 for this season. In their last game, the Bears went up against the Houston Cougars and went home with a loss by a final score of 25-24. Dominic Richardson was the best rusher for the Bears with 11 attempts for 51 yds (4.6 yards per attempt). Blake Shapen went 29/37 with 263 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a quarterback rate of 150.5 and finished the game with 1 interception. Against the rush, the Bears conceded 130 yards on 32 attempts, which averages out to 4.1 yds per run allowed. Baylor allowed 21 pass completions on 26 tries for a total of 236 yds, and a completion percentage of 80.8%. In all, they had 72 plays which gave them a total of 413 yards. The Baylor Bears ended up rushing 35 different times and totaled 150 yards, which is an average of 4.3 yds per attempt.

When talking about scoring points, the Baylor Bears have an average of 22.7 points per outing. As a team they're holding an average of 114.0 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 112th in college football. The Bears have earned 3,521 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Baylor has totaled 9 touchdowns via the pass and 11 rushing touchdowns. Baylor has recorded 181 1st downs as a team, and they have been called for 39 infractions for 243 yds. They have surrendered the ball 11 times.

The Bears rank 101st in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, giving up 29.4 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.0 yards per rush and 187.3 rushing yards per contest for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,686 yards via the ground game in 9 contests. Concerning yards through the air, the Bears are allowing 1,869 yards which ranks them 40th in the nation. They have relinquished 207.7 yards per outing through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 64.0%. During the season, they have relinquished 395.0 yards/outing which ranks them 91st in Division 1. They have allowed 14 touchdowns via the pass as well as 19 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Wildcats head into this game 6-3 for this season. When they last played, the Wildcats walked away with a loss by a score of 33-30 against the Texas Longhorns. Will Howard (4 touchdowns) ended the game with 327 yds on 26/42 passing while his quarterback rate was 154. He had 1 pick and his Y/A was 7.8. Treshaun Ward carried the football 9 times for 30 yards, ending the contest with 3.3 yards per attempt for Kansas State. Kansas State ran the ball for 1.1 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 33 yds on 29 carries. The Wildcats finished the game with 360 yds while they ran 73 plays (4.9 yds per play). The Wildcats secondary gave up a completion rate of 51.4%, relinquishing 248 yards on 19 for 37 passing. Kansas State allowed 37 run attempts for 230 yds (6.2 yards per rush).

The Kansas State Wildcats are averaging 453.0 yards per game, which has them ranked 22nd in Division 1. The Kansas State offense has compiled 386 penalty yards on 44 infractions, which has them sitting 109th in the country in terms of giving up free yards. They have an average of 204.6 rushing yards per game and have run for 1,841 yards for this season. They have given away 8 interceptions while losing 2 fumbles and they have been able to earn 214 1st downs. Concerning their scoring prowess, the Wildcats are ranking 17th in the nation averaging 36.6 points per outing. For the year so far, the Wildcats have thrown for a total of 2,236 yards via the pass along with holding an average of 248.4 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 52nd in college football.

The Wildcats are giving up 17.8 points per game, ranking them 19th in the country. Kansas State has yielded a total of 1,105 rushing yards (122.8 yards per game) in addition to 7 touchdowns on the ground for the year. This season, they have allowed 160 total points. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 235.9 yards/game, ranking them 79th in the nation. The Wildcats defense has been on the field for 605 plays, which ranks them 73rd in Division 1. Their defense has 4 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions so far this year.

Who will win tonight's Bears/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Wildcats -17

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