Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Auburn Tigers vs Vanderbilt Commodores

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Commodores (+11)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

FirstBank Stadium is where the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-7) will try to defeat the Auburn Tigers (4-4) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Auburn opens this contest as 11-point favorites. The over/under is set at 49.5.

The Auburn Tigers step onto the field holding a record of 4-4 for this season. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Tigers went up against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and earned the victory with a final of 27-13. Jarquez Hunter led the offense in rushing for the Tigers with 17 totes for 144 yds (8.5 yards per attempt). Payton Thorne connected on 20/26 with 230 yards passing and 3 TDs. He had a QB rating of 189.3 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Tigers gave up 184 yds on 35 attempts, which averages out to 5.3 yards per run allowed. Auburn surrendered 16 pass completions on 32 tries for a total of 161 yds, and a completion rate of 50.0%. In all, they ran 62 plays which totaled 416 yards. The Auburn Tigers ended up rushing 36 different times and compiled 186 yards, earning them an average of 5.2 yards per attempt.

The Tigers have racked up 2,775 total yards for this campaign. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Auburn has earned 10 touchdowns through the air and 15 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered the ball 10 times. Auburn has compiled 145 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 46 penalties for 361 yds. As a unit they maintain an average of 186.0 yards on the ground which ranks them 30th in D-1. When talking about scoring, the Auburn Tigers have an average of 26.8 points per contest.

When talking about passing yards, the Tigers have allowed 1,659 yards which ranks them 40th in D-1. They have yielded 207.4 yards per game through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 60.5%. During this campaign, they are allowing 368.4 yards per outing which puts them 61st in the nation. They have conceded 10 touchdowns through the air as well as 12 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are giving up an average of 4.5 yards per tote and 161.0 yards on the ground per contest so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 1,288 rushing yards through 8 games. The Tigers are ranked 47th in the nation when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 22.5 points per game.

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The Commodores head into this game 2-7 this year. The last time they took the field, the Commodores took a defeat with a final score of 33-7 when they played the Ole Miss Rebels. Walter Taylor finished the contest with 38 yds on 4/12 passing while his QB rating was 43.3. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 3.2. Walter Taylor carried the football 20 times for 59 yds, ending the game with 3.0 yards per carry for Vanderbilt. The Commodores finished the contest with a total of 229 yds while running 64 plays (3.6 yds per play). Vanderbilt rushed for 3.8 yds per attempt, finishing with 169 yds on 44 attempts. Vanderbilt conceded 40 run attempts for 177 yards (4.4 yds per carry). The Commodores secondary conceded a completion percentage of 69.0%, surrendering 254 yds on 20 for 29 through the air.

The Vanderbilt Commodores hold an average of 335.7 yards per game, which ranks them 104th in Division 1. The Vanderbilt offense has accrued 381 yds of penalties on 43 infractions, which is 97th in D-1 in terms of giving up free yards. They have an average of 92.8 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 835 yards for the season. They have given away 11 interceptions while conceding 5 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 153 first downs. Regarding their ability to score points, the Commodores are sitting 81st in the nation with 25.4 PPG. For the season thus far, the Commodores have thrown for a total of 2,186 passing yards along with holding an average of 242.9 throwing yards per game, which has them ranked 57th in D-1.

Vanderbilt has allowed a total of 1,570 yards rushing (174.4 yards per game) as well as 16 touchdowns on the ground so far this season. They have given up 17 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 262.3 yards per contest, which has them ranked 117th in the nation. They have earned 3 fumbles and 10 picks for the year. The Commodores defense has taken the field for 631 plays, which is 129th in the country. The Commodores are relinquishing 34.2 points per game, which puts them 123rd in the country. Over the course of the season, they have surrendered 308 pts.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Commodores college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Tigers -11

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