Auburn Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Auburn Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, AR

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Razorbacks (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

The Auburn Tigers (5-4) are traveling to Razorback Stadium on Saturday, November 11, 2023 where they will meet the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-6). Auburn opens this matchup as 1-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 48.5.

The Auburn Tigers head into this matchup 5-4 for this season. In their last game, the Tigers played against the Vanderbilt Commodores and notched a win by a score of 31-15. Payton Thorne finished 17/27 with 194 yards through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rate of 140.4 and walked away from the game with 1 interception. Jarquez Hunter led the offense in rushing for the Tigers with 19 totes for 183 yds (9.6 yds per attempt). At the end of the game, they tallied 64 plays which converted into 424 yds. The Auburn Tigers ended up rushing 37 different times and accumulated 230 yds, which is an average of 6.2 yards per tote. Against the run, the Tigers conceded 100 yds on 30 attempts, which is 3.3 yards per run allowed. Auburn relinquished 17 completions on 32 attempts for 166 yards, and a completion percentage of 53.1%.

The Tigers have earned 3,199 total yards for the season. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Auburn has compiled 12 touchdowns via the pass and 17 touchdowns via the ground. They have surrendered the football 11 times. Auburn has accumulated 159 1st downs as a unit, and they have been called for 51 infractions for 421 yds. As a team they average 190.9 yards rushing which has them sitting 26th in D-1. When it comes to putting points on the board, the Auburn Tigers hold an average of 27.2 points per game.

The Tigers sit in 39th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 21.7 PPG. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.4 yards per rush and 154.2 rushing yards per contest on the year. During the season, they have conceded 1,388 yards via the ground game in 9 games. Concerning passing yards, the Tigers are allowing 1,825 yards which puts them in 34th in the country. They have surrendered 202.8 yards per contest through the air in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 59.3%. During this campaign, they have relinquished 357.0 yards per contest which puts them 52nd in the country. They have yielded 11 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 12 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Razorbacks come into this game with a record of 3-6 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Razorbacks took home the win by a final score of 39-36 when they faced the Florida Gators. Raheim Sanders ran the football 18 times for 103 yds, finishing the game with 5.7 yds per attempt for Arkansas. K.J. Jefferson (2 TDs) walked away from the game with 255 yards on 20/31 passing while his quarterback rating was 148.5. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per attempt was 8.2. Arkansas relinquished 28 attempts on the ground for 112 yds (4.0 yds per rush). The Razorbacks passing defense gave up a completion percentage of 61.9%, surrendering 282 yds on 26 out of 42 through the air. The Razorbacks finished with a total of 481 yds on 78 plays (6.2 yards per play). Arkansas rushed for 4.8 yards per attempt, finishing with 226 yds on 47 carries.

Regarding the points being put on the board, the Razorbacks currently rank 66th in college football averaging 27.9 points per contest. The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 325.3 yards/contest, which ranks them 108th in college football. The Arkansas offense has 502 penalty yards on 59 violations, which is good for 40th in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 8 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover 3 fumbles and they have tallied 161 first downs. For the season thus far, the Razorbacks currently sit at 1,830 yards through the air in addition to an average of 203.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 96th in the country. They maintain an average of 122.0 yards per game via the ground game and have toted the ball for 1,098 yards for this season.

Arkansas has given up a total of 1,165 yards rushing (129.4 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns on the ground on the season. They have allowed the opposition 16 touchdowns through the air in addition to 210.3 yards per game, which puts them in 48th in D-1. Their defense has totaled 5 fumbles recovered and 8 interceptions on the season. The Razorbacks defense has taken the field for 556 plays, which has them sitting 20th in Division 1. The Razorbacks are allowing 24.3 PPG, ranking them 57th in the nation. In total, they have given up 219 pts.

Who will win tonight's Tigers/Razorbacks college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Razorbacks -1

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