Army Black Knights vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Army Black Knights vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Falcons (-18)

Total/Over-Under: 35.5

The Air Force Falcons (8-0) welcome the Army Black Knights (2-6) at Empower Field at Mile High on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Air Force opens this game as 18-point favorites. The betting total comes in at 35.5.

The Army Black Knights step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Black Knights went up against the UMass Minutemen and took a loss by a final of 21-14. Champ Harris finished 5/7 with 92 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 181.8 and ended the game with no interceptions. Kanye Udoh was the leader on the ground for the Black Knights with 15 carries for 76 yds (5.1 yds per carry). At the end of the game, they ran 63 plays for 362 yards. The Army Black Knights ran the football 42 times and totaled 204 yds, which is an average of 4.9 yds per carry. On the ground, the Black Knights conceded 231 yds on 37 tries, which calculates to 6.2 yards per run allowed. Army gave up 17 completions on 23 tries for 121 yards, and a completion rate of 73.9%.

When talking about getting in the endzone, the Army Black Knights are averaging 20.1 points per outing. As a unit they hold an average of 190.4 yards on the ground which has them sitting 25th in the nation. The Black Knights currently have 2,584 total yards this year. In terms of scoring touchdowns, Army has totaled 6 passing touchdowns and 13 rushing touchdowns. Army has tallied 135 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 21 penalties for 173 yds. They have surrendered the football 20 different times.

When it comes to passing yards, the Black Knights are giving up 1,537 yards which puts them in 21st in D-1. They have given up 192.1 yards per outing through the air and allowed a completion percentage of 61.7%. In total, they are granting 377.9 yards per game which puts them 69th in D-1. They have granted 10 touchdowns via the pass and 15 touchdowns on the ground. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 5.0 yards per rush and 185.8 rushing yards per game for the season. In total, they have conceded 1,486 yards via the ground game in 8 outings. The Black Knights are ranked 67th in the country in terms of the opposition scoring, conceding 25.5 points per contest.

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The Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 8-0 this season. When they last stepped on the field, the Falcons walked away with a victory by a final of 30-13 when they played the Colorado State Rams. Zachar Larrier (1 TD) ended the game with 32 yards on 4/7 through the air while his quarterback rate was 142.7. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per attempt was 4.6. Emmanuel Michel ran the football 20 times for 130 yds, finishing the game with 6.5 yards per carry for Air Force. The Falcons ended up finishing with 293 yds while running 64 plays (4.6 yards per play). Air Force rushed for 4.6 yards per carry, finishing the game with 261 yds on 57 attempts. Air Force allowed 19 rush attempts for 42 yds (2.2 yards per rush). The Falcons secondary conceded a completion rate of 62.2%, surrendering 297 yards on 28 for 45 passing.

When discussing their ability to score points, the Falcons currently sit 29th in Division 1 maintaining an average of 33.6 points per game. The Air Force Falcons hold an average of 381.8 yards/game, which has them ranked 70th in the nation. The Air Force offense has compiled 192 yds of penalties on 23 violations, which ranks them 132nd in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They have tossed 0 picks while surrendering 5 fumbles and they have earned 164 1st downs. Over the course of the season to this point, the Falcons have racked up 651 yards through the air as well as an average of 81.4 passing yards per contest, putting them at 133rd in D-1. They have an average of 300.4 run yards per game and have run for 2,403 yards for this season.

Air Force has allowed a total of 526 rushing yards (65.8 yards/game) and 4 touchdowns via the rush for the year. They have given up 10 touchdowns from the passing game and 172.1 yards/outing, which has them ranked 12th in the country. Their defense has tallied 4 fumbles recovered and 5 picks so far this year. The Falcons defense has been on the field for 450 plays, which ranks 3rd in the country. The Falcons are relinquishing 13.4 PPG, which has them 4th in D-1. This year, they have conceded 107 total points.

Who will win tonight's Black Knights/Falcons college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Black Knights +18

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