Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Minutemen (-1)

Total/Over-Under: 55.5

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) are traveling to Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023 where they will compete against the UMass Minutemen (1-4). UMass opens this matchup as 1-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 55.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this matchup with a record of 2-2 this year. The last time they took the field, the Red Wolves took the field against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles and notched a win by a score of 44-37. Jaylen Raynor led the offense in rushing for the Red Wolves with 17 attempts for 97 yds (5.7 yds per attempt). Jaylen Raynor went 11/21 with 233 yds through the air and 3 TDs. He had a quarterback rating of 183.2 and ended the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Red Wolves gave up 234 yds on 34 attempts, which averages out to 6.9 yds per run surrendered. Arkansas State conceded 20 pass completions on 36 tries for 215 yds, and a completion percentage of 55.6%. In the game, they ran 65 plays which gave them a total of 425 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up rushing 44 different times and accrued 192 yards, which had them averaging 4.4 yards per carry.

Concerning putting points on the board, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 19.5 PPG. As a unit they maintain an average of 162.3 yards via the ground game giving them a rank of 60th in the country. The Red Wolves have tallied 1,348 total yards for the year. In terms of getting the ball in the endzone, Arkansas State has compiled 4 touchdowns through the air and 5 touchdowns via the ground. Arkansas State has recorded 71 first downs, and they have been called for 24 infractions for 206 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 6 different times.

The Red Wolves sit in 128th in the country when it comes to their opponents scoring, allowing 38.5 PPG. The opposition is running for an average of 4.5 yards per run and 173.5 yards on the ground per game so far this season. Overall, they have allowed 694 rushing yards through 4 games. When it comes to yards through the air, the Red Wolves have conceded 1,097 yds which ranks them 113th in Division 1. They have allowed 274.3 yards per contest through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 70.1%. Overall, they have yielded 447.8 yards per contest which ranks them 126th in Division 1. They have conceded 8 touchdowns by air as well as 10 touchdowns via the ground game.

Get all of our College Football Picks this Week

The Minutemen head into this matchup 1-4 this year. For their last game, the Minutemen went home defeated by a final of 34-31 against the New Mexico Lobos. Carlos Davis (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 196 yards on 11/20 passing while his QB rate was 153.8. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 9.8. Kay'ron Adams carried the football 26 times for 97 yards, ending the contest with 3.7 yards per attempt for UMass. The Minutemen finished the game with a total of 495 yards while running 70 plays (7.1 yards per play). UMass rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 197 yards on 45 carries. UMass surrendered 38 rush attempts for 136 yds (3.6 yards per carry). The Minutemen pass defense allowed a completion rate of 52.9%, relinquishing 192 yards on 9 for 17 through the air.

In relation to their ability to score points, the Minutemen are ranked 83rd in Division 1 with 26.2 points per game. The UMass Minutemen maintain an average of 391.0 yards per game, which ranks them 73rd in the nation. The UMass offense has totaled 380 yds of penalties on 42 violations, which ranks them 2nd in the nation in terms of hurting your team. They have given away 5 interceptions while conceding 3 fumbles and they have tallied 90 1st downs. During the season to this point, the Minutemen have racked up 1,235 passing yards as well as an average of 247.0 passing yards per contest, putting them at 56th in the nation. They have an average of 144.0 yards per game on the ground and have rushed for 720 yards for the season.

The Minutemen are relinquishing 36.6 points per game, which has them sitting 125th in the country. UMass has surrendered a total of 993 yards rushing (198.6 yards/game) and 12 touchdowns via the rush this season. This year, they have conceded 183 total points. They have allowed the opposition 10 touchdowns through the air in addition to 220.4 yards/game, ranking them 65th in the country. The Minutemen defense has been on the field for 297 plays, which is 114th in college football. Their defense has earned 3 fumbles and 4 interceptions so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Minutemen college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +1

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here