Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warhawks (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 58

Malone Stadium is the location where the UL Monroe Warhawks (2-5) will play the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-4) on Saturday, October 28, 2023. UL Monroe opens as 2-point favorites. The betting total is set at 58.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this matchup 3-4 this season. The last time they took the field, the Red Wolves faced off with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 27-17. Jaylen Raynor was the best rusher for the Red Wolves with 11 totes for 52 yds (4.7 yards per carry). Jaylen Raynor went 19/35 with 306 yds through the air and 2 TDs. He had a QB rating of 135.2 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Against the run, the Red Wolves conceded 186 yards on 42 attempts, which calculates to 4.4 yards per run allowed. Arkansas State conceded 25 pass completions on 30 tries for 250 yards, and a completion rate of 83.3%. At the end of the game, they had 59 plays for 422 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up rushing 24 different times and accrued 116 yds, which is an average of 4.8 yards per carry.

The Red Wolves have racked up 2,529 total yards over the course of this season. When it comes to scoring, Arkansas State has earned 12 touchdowns via the pass and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 8 different times. Arkansas State has accrued 130 1st downs offensively, and they have been flagged for 45 infractions for 435 yds. As a unit they hold an average of 140.7 yards rushing which is 86th in college football. Regarding scoring points, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 21.4 points per contest.

The Red Wolves sit in 125th in the country regarding their opponents scoring, conceding 35.1 PPG. The opposition is running for 5.0 yards per rush and 191.9 rushing yards per contest so far this season. For the year, they have conceded 1,343 rushing yards through 7 games. When talking about passing yardage, the Red Wolves are allowing 1,852 yards which has them ranked 106th in the nation. They have conceded 264.6 yards per contest via the pass in addition to allowing a completion percentage of 72.0%. During this campaign, they have surrendered 456.4 yards/game which ranks them 127th in Division 1. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 16 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Warhawks head into this game 2-5 for this season. In their last game, the Warhawks took a loss by a score of 38-28 when they played the Georgia Southern Eagles. Isaiah Woullard carried the rock 11 times for 27 yards, walking away from the game with 2.5 yds per carry for UL Monroe. Blake Murphy (1 TD) finished the game with 320 yards on 18/33 passing while his QB rating was 139.9. He tossed 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 9.7. UL Monroe allowed 41 attempts on the ground for 175 yards (4.3 yards per rush). The Warhawks pass defense gave up a completion rate of 56.8%, relinquishing 242 yds on 21 for 37 passing. The Warhawks finished the contest with a total of 427 yards on 75 plays (5.7 yds per play). UL Monroe ran the ball for 0.9 yds per attempt, finishing with a total of 26 yards on 29 carries.

The UL Monroe Warhawks maintain an average of 333.9 yards per game, which ranks them 104th in college football. The UL Monroe offense has racked up 304 penalty yds on 33 infractions, which ranks 115th in Division 1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 160.1 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,121 yards for this season. They have thrown 7 picks while conceding 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 108 first downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Warhawks currently rank 116th in the nation scoring 19.9 PPG. For the year thus far, the Warhawks currently sit at 1,216 passing yards as well as an average of 173.7 throwing yards per game, which ranks 114th in college football.

UL Monroe has given up a total of 1,259 rushing yards (179.9 yards per contest) and 10 touchdowns via the rush this season. They have conceded 14 touchdowns from the passing game and 268.9 yards/outing, which has them sitting 121st in the country. They have 7 fumbles recovered and 9 interceptions on the campaign. The Warhawks defense has taken the field for 532 plays, which is good for 113th in college football. The Warhawks are allowing 32.7 PPG, which puts them 116th in D-1. In total, they have relinquished 229 points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Warhawks -2

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