Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-17)

Total/Over-Under: 53.5

The Troy Trojans (3-2) host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) at Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023. Arkansas State is 17-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 53.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this year. In their last matchup, the Red Wolves faced the UMass Minutemen and took home the win by a score of 52-28. Jaylen Raynor connected on 20/25 with 383 yds through the air and 6 touchdowns. He had a QB rating of 287.9 and finished the contest with no picks. Zak Wallace was the leader on the ground for the Red Wolves with 11 carries for 54 yds (4.9 yards per carry). Once the final whistle blew, they tallied 65 plays which converted into 556 yds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ran the football 40 times and accrued 173 yards, which is an average of 4.3 yards per attempt. Against the run, the Red Wolves conceded 112 yds on 25 tries, which averages out to 4.5 yards per rush allowed. Arkansas State gave up 29 pass completions on 38 attempts for 269 yds, and a completion rate of 76.3%.

The Red Wolves have racked up 1,904 total yards for the year. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Arkansas State has earned 10 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the ball over 6 different times. Arkansas State has tallied 103 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 34 infractions for 310 yards. As a unit they average 164.4 yards on the ground ranking this team at 59th in college football. Concerning scoring points, the Arkansas State Red Wolves have an average of 26.0 PPG.

When talking about yards via the pass, the Red Wolves are giving up 1,366 yds which has them ranked 117th in the nation. They have given up 273.2 yards per contest through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 71.6%. During the season, they are surrendering 434.4 yards/game which puts them 121st in college football. They have surrendered 9 touchdowns by air and 12 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing an average of 4.5 yards per rush on the ground and 161.2 yards on the ground per game for the campaign. During the season, they have allowed 806 yards via the ground game in 5 games. The Red Wolves rank 128th in the nation concerning team defense, allowing 36.4 points per game.

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The Trojans come into this game with a record of 3-2 for this year. When they last stepped on the field, the Trojans went home victorious with a score of 28-7 when they played the Georgia State Panthers. Gunnar Watson (1 TD) finished the game with 256 yards on 23/30 through the air while his quarterback rating was 152.7. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.5. Kimani Vidal ran the football 23 times for 76 yds, walking away from the contest with 3.3 yards per carry for Troy. Troy rushed the football for 4.4 yards per attempt, totaling 154 yards on 35 carries. The Trojans finished the game with 410 yds and they ran 65 plays (6.3 yds per play). The Trojans passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 65.5%, surrendering 193 yds on 19 for 29 through the air. Troy conceded 31 rushing attempts for 105 yds (3.4 yds per rush).

In relation to their scoring prowess, the Trojans sit 89th in the nation by tallying 26.0 PPG. The Troy Trojans average 415.6 yards per outing, ranking them 53rd in the country. The Troy offense has totaled 211 yards of penalties on 25 infractions, which ranks 91st in the country in terms of helping out the other team. They have thrown 4 picks while letting opponents recover 7 fumbles and they have obtained 103 1st downs. During this campaign so far, the Trojans have compiled 1,352 passing yards as well as an average of 270.4 throwing yards per contest, which has them ranked 42nd in the country. They maintain an average of 145.2 yards per game via the rush and have rushed for 726 yards for the year.

Troy has allowed a total of 459 yards rushing (91.8 yards per contest) and 7 touchdowns via the rush on the year. They have surrendered 6 touchdowns from the passing game in addition to 210.8 yards/outing, ranking them 49th in college football. Their defense has 3 fumbles recovered and 4 picks on the season. The Trojans defense has been on the field for 307 plays, which ranks 37th in the country. The Trojans are conceding 23.8 PPG, ranking them 60th in the country. In total, they have given up 119 total points.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +17

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