Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs South Alabama Jaguars

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, AL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Jaguars (-12)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

Hancock Whitney Stadium is where the South Alabama Jaguars (4-5) will play the Arkansas State Red Wolves (5-4) on Saturday, November 11, 2023. South Alabama opens this contest as 12-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 54.5.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves head into this matchup 5-4 this year. In their last matchup, the Red Wolves faced off with the Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and notched a win by a score of 37-17. Zak Wallace was the best rusher for the Red Wolves with 15 totes for 88 yds (5.9 yds per carry). Jaylen Raynor connected on 18/28 with 194 yds passing. He had a quarterback rating of 122.5 and finished the game with no picks. In the running game, the Red Wolves gave up 64 yards on 27 attempts, which averages out to 2.4 yds per run allowed. Arkansas State gave up 22 pass completions on 34 tries for 263 yds, and a completion percentage of 64.7%. When the final whistle blew, they had 80 plays which gave them 426 yards. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ended up rushing 52 times and had 232 yds, which had them averaging 4.5 yards per attempt.

Regarding scoring points, the Arkansas State Red Wolves are sitting at 24.6 points per outing. As a team they're averaging 152.9 yards on the ground which ranks them 74th in Division 1. The Red Wolves have attained 3,412 total yards this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Arkansas State has compiled 13 touchdowns via the pass and 12 touchdowns on the ground. Arkansas State has compiled 177 first downs offensively, and they have been hurt by 55 infractions for 553 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 9 different times.

When it comes to passing yardage, the Red Wolves are allowing 2,415 yds which has them sitting in 119th in the nation. They have yielded 268.3 yards per outing through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 68.7%. Over the course of this year, they have surrendered 441.1 yards/game which ranks them 125th in the nation. They have surrendered 15 touchdowns via the pass as well as 17 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.7 yards per run and 172.8 rushing yards per contest this year. Over the course of this year, they have conceded 1,555 rushing yards through 9 games. The Red Wolves are ranked 111th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 31.9 PPG.

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The Jaguars head into this game 4-5 this season. When they last played, the Jaguars went home defeated by a final of 28-10 against the Troy Trojans. La'Damian Webb ran the football 15 times for 53 yds, finishing the game with 3.5 yds per carry for South Alabama. Gio Lopez walked away from the game with 155 yards on 17/27 passing while his quarterback rate was 103.8. He threw 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 5.7. South Alabama conceded 39 run attempts for 129 yds (3.3 yds per rush). The Jaguars secondary allowed a completion percentage of 70.4%, relinquishing 271 yds on 19 for 27 through the air. The Jaguars finished the game with a total of 252 yards on 54 plays (4.7 yards per play). South Alabama ran for 3.6 yards per carry, finishing the contest with 97 yds on 27 attempts.

When looking at how much they score, the Jaguars are sitting 43rd in Division 1 averaging 30.9 points per contest. The South Alabama Jaguars are averaging 431.8 yards/contest, which has them ranked 39th in the country. The South Alabama offense has compiled 526 penalty yds on 61 infractions, which is good for 34th in the country in terms of helping out the opposition. They have thrown 9 interceptions while letting opponents recover 6 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 204 first downs. During the season thus far, the Jaguars currently sit at 2,439 yards through the air together with an average of 271.0 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 36th in the country. They have an average of 160.8 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 1,447 yards for this season.

The Jaguars are surrendering 21.9 points per game, which has them sitting 42nd in college football. South Alabama has allowed a total of 1,132 yards via the ground game (125.8 yards/game) and 8 touchdowns on the ground on the campaign. This season, they have given up 197 points in total. They have conceded 15 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 200.3 yards/contest, which has them in 33rd in college football. The Jaguars defense has taken the field for 562 plays, which is 24th in Division 1. Their defense has tallied 7 fumbles and 6 picks on the campaign.

Who will win tonight's Red Wolves/Jaguars college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Red Wolves +12

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