Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, 10/7/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Ole Miss Rebels

Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023

Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS

TV: SEC Network

Odds/Point Spread: Rebels (-9)

Total/Over-Under: 62.5

The Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) will play the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday, October 7, 2023. Ole Miss is 9-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total is set at 62.5.

The Arkansas Razorbacks come into this matchup with a record of 2-3 for this season. In their last matchup, the Razorbacks went up against the Texas A&M Aggies and took a loss by a score of 34-22. Raheim Sanders was the leader on the ground for the Razorbacks with 11 carries for 34 yards (3.1 yards per carry). K.J. Jefferson went 9/17 with 132 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a quarterback rate of 125.8 and finished the contest with 1 pick. In the running game, the Razorbacks gave up 204 yds on 39 tries, which calculates to 5.2 yards per run surrendered. Arkansas allowed 17 completions on 28 attempts for 210 yds, and a completion rate of 60.7%. On the day, they had 56 plays for 174 yds. The Arkansas Razorbacks ended up rushing 39 times and tallied 42 yds, earning them an average of 1.1 yds per carry.

The Razorbacks currently have 1,711 total yards for the season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Arkansas has earned 11 touchdowns via the pass and 6 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 5 times. Arkansas has earned 96 first downs as a unit, and they have been hurt by 36 penalties for 314 yds. As a unit they're averaging 126.6 yards on the ground ranking this team at 99th in the country. Regarding scoring, the Arkansas Razorbacks have an average of 33.6 PPG.

The Razorbacks sit in 69th in Division 1 in terms of their opponents scoring, allowing 25.0 points per game. The opposition is running for 3.4 yards per running attempt and 112.0 rushing yards per contest so far this season. During the season, they have allowed 560 yards on the ground through 5 games. Regarding yards via the pass, the Razorbacks have given up 1,135 yards which puts them in 76th in D-1. They have given up 227.0 yards per contest via the pass and giving up a completion percentage of 62.1%. In total, they are allowing 339.0 yards/game which has them sitting 48th in the nation. They have granted 9 touchdowns by air and 3 touchdowns on the ground.

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The Rebels head into this matchup 4-1 for this season. In their last game, the Rebels took home the win by a final score of 55-49 against the LSU Tigers. Jaxson Dart (4 TDs) ended the contest with 389 yds on 26/39 through the air while his QB rating was 184.3. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 10.0. Quinshon Judkins ran the football 33 times for 177 yards, finishing the contest with 5.4 yds per attempt for Ole Miss. Ole Miss ran for 6.5 yards per tote, finishing the contest with 317 yds on 49 attempts. The Rebels finished the contest with a total of 706 yds and they ran 88 plays (8.0 yards per play). The Rebels secondary conceded a completion rate of 71.1%, surrendering 414 yards on 27 for 38 through the air. Ole Miss allowed 37 attempts on the ground for 223 yards (6.0 yards per rush).

The Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 517.4 yards per contest, ranking them 8th in college football. The Ole Miss offense has racked up 346 yards of penalties on 36 violations, which is 25th in Division 1 in terms of giving up free yards. They hold an average of 180.8 rushing yards per game and have toted the ball for 904 yards overall. They have tossed 2 interceptions while losing 1 fumble and they have tallied 118 first downs. In relation to their scoring prowess, the Rebels rank 6th in the country with an average of 44.6 points per contest. For the year to this point, the Rebels have compiled 1,683 yards via the pass as well as holding an average of 336.6 passing yards per game, which has them ranked 9th in the nation.

Ole Miss has yielded a total of 725 yards rushing (145.0 yards/game) as well as 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have conceded 8 touchdowns via the pass and 263.8 yards/contest, which puts them in 114th in D-1. They have 4 fumbles recovered and 3 picks this season. The Rebels defense has taken part in 380 plays, which has them sitting 127th in D-1. The Rebels are surrendering 24.6 points per game, which has them 67th in the nation. Overall, they have conceded 123 points.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Rebels college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Razorbacks +9

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