Arkansas Razorbacks vs Florida Gators Prediction, 11/4/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Florida Gators

Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023

Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Gators (-8)

Total/Over-Under: 48.5

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is where the Florida Gators (5-3) will attempt to beat the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-6) on Saturday, November 4, 2023. Florida is 8-point favorites. The over/under is 48.5.

The Arkansas Razorbacks step onto the field holding a record of 2-6 for this season. In their last contest, the Razorbacks played against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 7-3. K.J. Jefferson went 19/31 with 97 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 81.1 and ended the game with 1 interception. Rashod Dubinion was the best rusher for the Razorbacks with 14 carries for 47 yds (3.4 yards per carry). When all was said and done, they had 68 plays which totaled 200 yards. The Arkansas Razorbacks ran the ball a total of 37 different times and recorded 103 yds, earning them an average of 2.8 yards per tote. Against the run, the Razorbacks conceded 120 yds on 36 attempts, which is an average of 3.3 yds per rush allowed. Arkansas gave up 8 pass completions on 12 tries for a total of 85 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Razorbacks have tallied 2,447 total yards for the year. When it comes to getting in the endzone, Arkansas has earned 15 touchdowns through the air and 6 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 9 different times. Arkansas has earned 138 1st downs offensively, and they have been called for 53 penalties for 457 yds. As a team they maintain an average of 109.0 yards in the run game which is 114th in Division 1. When it comes to scoring, the Arkansas Razorbacks have an average of 26.5 points per outing.

When talking about yards through the air, the Razorbacks are giving up 1,611 yds which ranks them 32nd in college football. They are allowing 201.4 yards per contest via the pass as well as giving up a completion percentage of 60.9%. In total, they are granting 333.0 yards per contest putting them at 31st in D-1. They have yielded 13 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns pounding the rock. Opposing teams are running for an average of 3.7 yards per rushing attempt and 131.6 rushing yards per game on the season. For the season, they have given up 1,053 rushing yards through 8 games. The Razorbacks sit in 50th in college football when it comes to the opposition scoring, giving up 22.9 PPG.

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The Gators head into this game 5-3 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Gators went home defeated by a final of 43-20 against the Georgia Bulldogs. Montrell Johnson ran the football 9 times for 82 yards, finishing the contest with 9.1 yards per carry for Florida. Graham Mertz (2 TDs) ended the game with 230 yds on 25/34 through the air while his QB rating was 149.8. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.8. Florida conceded 38 rush attempts for 171 yards (4.5 yds per rush). The Gators passing defense allowed a completion percentage of 67.9%, surrendering 315 yds on 19 out of 28 passing. The Gators finished the game with 339 yds while running 59 plays (5.7 yards per play). Florida rushed for 4.4 yds per carry, finishing with a total of 109 yards on 25 attempts.

The Florida Gators hold an average of 411.4 yards per game, which has them ranked 52nd in D-1. The Florida offense has racked up 352 yards of penalties on 49 violations, which is good for 59th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They average 137.3 yards per game via the rush and have toted the ball for 1,098 yards in total. They have tossed 3 picks while letting opponents recover 4 fumbles and they have obtained 177 1st downs. In terms of how much they score, the Gators are sitting 68th in D-1 with an average of 28.0 points per game. During the season so far, the Gators have racked up 2,193 passing yards as well as an average of 274.1 throwing yards per game, which has them sitting 37th in the nation.

Florida has given up a total of 1,045 yards via the ground game (130.6 yards per game) in addition to 11 touchdowns via the rush on the campaign. They have conceded 12 touchdowns via the pass as well as 203.5 yards per outing, which has them sitting 35th in Division 1. Their defense has totaled 2 fumbles recovered and 2 picks so far this season. The Gators defense has been on the field for 448 plays, which ranks them 2nd in the nation. The Gators are surrendering 22.9 PPG, which has them 51st in Division 1. In total, they have relinquished 183 points.

Who will win tonight's Razorbacks/Gators college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Gators -8

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