Appalachian State Mountaineers vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction, 9/30/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs UL Monroe Warhawks

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warhawks (+13)

Total/Over-Under: 54.5

The UL Monroe Warhawks (2-1) will play the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) at Malone Stadium on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Appalachian State opens this matchup as 13-point favorites. The total is set at 54.5.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers head into this game 2-2 for this season. In their last game, the Mountaineers played the Wyoming Cowboys and ended up losing by a score of 22-19. Nate Noel led the offense in rushing for the Mountaineers with 30 carries for 107 yards (3.6 yards per carry). Joey Aguilar connected on 22/40 with 200 yds passing. He had a QB rate of 92 and finished the contest with 1 pick. Against the rush, the Mountaineers conceded 177 yds on 27 attempts, which is 6.6 yards per rush surrendered. Appalachian State conceded 5 completions on 15 attempts for 31 yds, and a completion percentage of 33.3%. When all was said and done, they ran 90 plays which converted into 417 yds. The Appalachian State Mountaineers ran the ball a total of 50 different times and had 217 yds, which came out to an average of 4.3 yards per carry.

When it comes to putting the ball in the endzone, the Appalachian State Mountaineers hold an average of 35.3 points per game. As a unit they maintain an average of 205.5 yards on the ground ranking them 23rd in college football. The Mountaineers have earned 1,785 total yards this season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Appalachian State has compiled 10 passing touchdowns and 6 rushing touchdowns. Appalachian State has compiled 103 first downs as a unit, and they have committed 15 penalties for 130 yds. They have surrendered the football 5 times.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Mountaineers have conceded 621 yards which has them ranked 10th in D-1. They have relinquished 155.3 yards per outing via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 60.6%. In total, they are surrendering 338.8 yards/outing which has them ranked 55th in D-1. They have relinquished 1 touchdown by air and 11 touchdowns via the ground game. They are giving up an average of 5.7 yards per tote and 183.5 yards on the ground per game this season. In total, they have allowed 734 yards via the ground game in 4 outings. The Mountaineers are ranked 99th in the country in terms of team defense, giving up 28.5 PPG.

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The Warhawks head into this game 2-1 for this season. In their last game, the Warhawks took a loss by a score of 47-3 against the Texas A&M Aggies. Jiya Wright carried the rock 5 times for 34 yds, finishing the game with 6.8 yards per carry for UL Monroe. Jiya Wright finished the game with 95 yards on 6/15 passing while his QB rate was 93.2. He didn't toss any picks and his Y/A was 6.3. UL Monroe gave up 33 running attempts for 158 yds (4.8 yds per carry). The Warhawks secondary gave up a completion rate of 80.0%, surrendering 399 yds on 32 for 40 passing. The Warhawks finished the game with a total of 222 yds on 48 plays (4.6 yards per play). UL Monroe ran the ball for 4.1 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 127 yards on 31 carries.

Regarding putting points on the board, the Warhawks are sitting 130th in college football holding an average of 14.7 points per game. The UL Monroe Warhawks maintain an average of 301.3 yards per outing, ranking them 124th in the nation. The UL Monroe offense has accrued 120 penalty yds on 14 violations, which is good for 124th in college football in terms of giving up free yards. They have thrown 2 interceptions while conceding 0 fumbles and they have been able to earn 42 first downs. During this campaign to this point, the Warhawks have a total of 285 passing yards along with holding an average of 95.0 passing yards per game, ranking them 132nd in Division 1. They maintain an average of 206.3 rushing yards per game and have rushed for 619 yards for the season.

UL Monroe has conceded a total of 451 yards via the ground game (150.3 yards per game) and 4 touchdowns on the ground this season. They have given up 3 touchdowns through the air as well as 232.0 yards/outing, ranking them 78th in D-1. Their defense has 3 fumbles and 4 interceptions on the campaign. The Warhawks defense has taken the field for 197 plays, which is 2nd in Division 1. The Warhawks are conceding 24.7 PPG, which puts them 72nd in the nation. Over the course of the season, they have allowed 74 total points.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Warhawks college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Warhawks +13

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