Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 12/2/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs Troy Trojans

Date: Saturday, December 2, 2023

Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) in Troy, AL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Trojans (-6)

Total/Over-Under: 51.5

The Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4) are hitting the road to Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) on Saturday, December 2, 2023 where they will play the Troy Trojans (10-2) in the Sun Belt Championship. Troy opens this game as 6-point favorites. The total is 51.5.

The Appalachian State Mountaineers head into this matchup 8-4 for this season. In their last game, the Mountaineers took on the Georgia Southern Eagles and took home the win by a score of 55-27. Joey Aguilar went 23/36 with 296 yds through the air and 4 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 164.1 and walked away from the contest with 1 pick. Kanye Roberts was the rushing leader for the Mountaineers with 14 attempts for 109 yards (7.8 yds per carry). On the day, they ran 69 plays which gave them 532 yds. The Appalachian State Mountaineers ended up rushing 33 times and accounted for 236 yards, which earned them an average of 7.2 yards per tote. On the ground, the Mountaineers conceded 83 yds on 24 attempts, which averages out to 3.5 yds per rush allowed. Appalachian State gave up 26 completions on 39 tries for a total of 277 yards, and a completion rate of 66.7%.

The Mountaineers have racked up 5,467 total yards this season. In terms of distribution of touchdowns, Appalachian State has earned 34 touchdowns via the pass and 19 touchdowns on the ground. They have turned the football over 17 different times. Appalachian State has tallied 289 first downs, and they have been called for 52 infractions for 502 yds. As a team they're averaging 176.9 yards rushing which is 46th in D-1. In terms of scoring points, the Appalachian State Mountaineers hold an average of 35.8 PPG.

When it comes to yards via the pass, the Mountaineers have allowed 2,568 yards which puts them in 47th in Division 1. They have given up 214.0 yards per outing via the pass as well as allowing a completion percentage of 61.0%. Overall, they are surrendering 384.3 yards per contest which ranks them 73rd in the nation. They have conceded 14 touchdowns via the pass and 22 touchdowns pounding the rock. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 4.8 yards per rushing attempt and 170.3 rushing yards per game so far this year. During this campaign, they have allowed 2,044 running yards through 12 contests. The Mountaineers sit in 70th in the nation when it comes to the opposition scoring, conceding 26.7 PPG.

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The Trojans come into this game with a record of 10-2 for this year. The last time they took the field, the Trojans walked away with a victory by a final of 35-17 when they faced the Southern Miss Golden Eagles. Gunnar Watson (2 touchdowns) finished the game with 289 yards on 21/34 through the air while his QB rating was 146.7. He threw 1 pick and his average yards per pass attempt was 8.5. Kimani Vidal carried the football 16 times for 69 yds, finishing the game with 4.3 yds per carry for Troy. Troy ran the ball for 3.4 yds per attempt, finishing the contest with 108 yds on 32 carries. The Trojans finished the game with a total of 427 yards on 67 plays (6.4 yards per play). The Trojans pass defense conceded a completion percentage of 47.8%, surrendering 132 yards on 11 out of 23 passing. Troy surrendered 42 attempts on the ground for 154 yards (3.7 yards per rush).

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Trojans rank 54th in D-1 with an average of 29.7 points per game. The Troy Trojans maintain an average of 423.3 yards per outing, which has them ranked 42nd in college football. The Troy offense has compiled 565 yards of penalties on 64 violations, which ranks 91st in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have thrown 5 interceptions while losing 11 fumbles and they have recorded 254 first downs. For the year so far, the Trojans have earned 3,286 passing yards not to mention holding an average of 273.8 throwing yards per contest, which ranks 30th in college football. They hold an average of 149.5 yards per game on the ground and have run for 1,794 yards for the season.

The Trojans are surrendering 16.7 PPG, which has them sitting 10th in D-1. Troy has yielded a total of 1,225 rushing yards (102.1 yards per outing) in addition to 10 touchdowns rushing for the campaign. This year, they have conceded 200 points in total. They have surrendered 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 198.0 yards per contest, ranking them 29th in college football. The Trojans defense has taken part in 760 plays, ranking them 29th in Division 1. They have totaled 10 fumbles recovered and 10 picks for the year.

Who will win tonight's Mountaineers/Trojans college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Trojans -6

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