Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 1/1/2024 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Monday, January 1, 2024

Location: Rose Bowl in Pasadena, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wolverines (-2)

Total/Over-Under: 45.5

Rose Bowl is the location where the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) will take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) on Monday, January 1, 2024 in the CFP Semifinal at the Rose Bowl. Michigan opens as 2-point favorites. The over/under is set at 45.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game with a record of 12-1 for this year. In their last game, the Crimson Tide played against the Georgia Bulldogs and walked away with a win by a score of 27-24. Jalen Milroe connected on 13/23 with 192 yds through the air and 2 touchdowns. He had a quarterback rate of 155.3 and ended the contest without throwing a pick. Roydell Williams led the offense in rushing for the Crimson Tide with 16 attempts for 64 yds (4.0 yds per carry). In all, they tallied 64 plays which gave them a total of 306 yards. The Alabama Crimson Tide ended up running the ball 41 different times and accrued 114 yards, earning them an average of 2.8 yards per tote. Against the run, the Crimson Tide gave up 78 yds on 31 tries, which averages out to 2.5 yards per run allowed. Alabama surrendered 21 pass completions on 29 attempts for a total of 243 yds, and a completion rate of 72.4%.

The Crimson Tide have attained 5,216 total yards over the course of this year. In terms of getting in the endzone, Alabama has earned 23 touchdowns via the pass and 30 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the ball 10 different times. Alabama has accrued 263 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 75 infractions for 640 yds. As a team they average 172.7 yards rushing ranking them 49th in D-1. Regarding scoring points, the Alabama Crimson Tide have an average of 35.1 PPG.

Regarding yards via the pass, the Crimson Tide have conceded 2,454 yards which has them sitting in 30th in college football. They are giving up 188.8 yards per game through the air and giving up a completion percentage of 58.9%. Over the course of this season, they are conceding 313.3 yards per game which puts them 18th in college football. They have yielded 14 touchdowns through the air and 14 touchdowns on the ground. The opposition is running for 3.7 yards per attempt on the ground and 124.5 rushing yards per game on the season. In total, they have allowed 1,619 running yards through 13 outings. The Crimson Tide sit in 17th in the nation concerning team defense, giving up 18.4 points per game.

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The Wolverines head into this matchup 13-0 for this season. When they last played, the Wolverines took home the win by a final score of 26-0 against the Iowa Hawkeyes. Blake Corum ran the ball 16 times for 52 yards, finishing the contest with 3.3 yards per carry for Michigan. J.J. McCarthy walked away from the contest with 147 yards on 22/30 through the air while his QB rating was 114.5. He didn't toss any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.9. Michigan relinquished 24 run attempts for 29 yards (1.2 yards per rush). The Wolverines secondary gave up a completion rate of 56.3%, surrendering 120 yds on 18 out of 32 passing. The Wolverines finished the game with a total of 213 yds on 64 plays (3.3 yards per play). Michigan ran the football for 1.9 yards per attempt, finishing the game with 66 yards on 34 attempts.

The Michigan Wolverines hold an average of 380.5 yards per outing, which is good for 68th in the country. The Michigan offense has totaled 342 yds of penalties on 38 infractions, which is 132nd in D-1 in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 161.8 yards via the ground game and have rushed for 2,103 yards in total. They have given away 5 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have tallied 267 1st downs. When looking at how much they score, the Wolverines are sitting 14th in the nation with 36.7 points per contest. For the year thus far, the Wolverines have thrown for a total of 2,844 passing yards as well as holding an average of 218.8 passing yards per contest, which has them ranked 75th in D-1.

Michigan has allowed a total of 1,126 yards rushing (86.6 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns by way of the ground game so far this season. They have allowed 7 touchdowns from the passing game and 152.6 yards per outing, which has them sitting 2nd in the country. Their defense has tallied 8 fumbles recovered and 16 picks this year. The Wolverines defense has participated in 728 plays, which is 12th in college football. The Wolverines are conceding 9.5 points per game, which has them ranked 1st in Division 1. This season, they have conceded 124 total points.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Wolverines college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Crimson Tide +2

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