Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, KY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wildcats (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1) are en route to Kroger Field on Saturday, November 11, 2023 where they will go up against the Kentucky Wildcats (6-3). Kentucky opens this matchup as 9-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total comes in at 47.5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide head into this game 8-1 this year. The last time they took the field, the Crimson Tide faced off with the LSU Tigers and notched a win by a score of 42-28. Jalen Milroe went 15/23 with 219 yards through the air. He had a QB rate of 145.2 and ended the contest with no picks. Jalen Milroe led the offense in rushing for the Crimson Tide with 20 attempts for 155 yds (7.8 yds per carry). The Alabama Crimson Tide ended up running the ball 46 different times and totaled 288 yards, which had them averaging 6.3 yards per tote. In all, they had 69 plays which totaled 507 yds. Alabama surrendered 20 pass completions on 34 attempts for 272 yards, and a completion rate of 58.8%. On the ground, the Crimson Tide conceded 206 yards on 24 attempts, which averages out to 8.6 yards per rush surrendered.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 31.9 PPG. As a team they hold an average of 162.8 yards in the run game which ranks them 58th in Division 1. The Crimson Tide have tallied 3,440 total yards over the course of this season. With reference to distribution of touchdowns, Alabama has amassed 13 touchdowns through the air and 19 touchdowns via the ground. Alabama has recorded 177 1st downs as an offense, and they have been called for 55 penalties for 443 yds. They have surrendered the ball 8 times.

The Crimson Tide are ranked 18th in D-1 concerning their opponents scoring, allowing 17.8 points per game. They are giving up an average of 3.5 yards per rush and 119.6 yards on the ground per game so far this year. Over the course of this season, they have conceded 1,076 running yards through 9 outings. Regarding passing yards, the Crimson Tide are allowing 1,853 yds which puts them in 38th in the country. They are giving up 205.9 yards per outing via the pass in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 60.3%. Over the course of this season, they are allowing 325.4 yards/game putting them at 24th in the country. They have surrendered 12 touchdowns via the pass in addition to 6 touchdowns via the ground game.

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The Wildcats come into this game with a record of 6-3 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Wildcats went home victorious with a score of 24-3 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs. Devin Leary (2 touchdowns) ended the game with 156 yards on 13/22 passing while his quarterback rate was 148.7. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per pass attempt was 7.1. Re'Mahn Davis ran the football 21 times for 80 yards, ending the contest with 3.8 yards per carry for Kentucky. The Wildcats finished the game with 271 yds while running 54 plays (5.0 yds per play). Kentucky rushed for 3.8 yards per carry, totaling 110 yds on 29 carries. Kentucky relinquished 31 running attempts for 73 yards (2.4 yds per carry). The Wildcats pass defense gave up a completion percentage of 48.6%, surrendering 145 yards on 17 out of 35 through the air.

When looking at putting points on the board, the Wildcats currently rank 55th in college football maintaining an average of 30.0 points per contest. The Kentucky Wildcats average 353.3 yards/game, ranking them 93rd in college football. The Kentucky offense has compiled 545 yards of penalties on 64 infractions, which is good for 20th in D-1 in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 7 picks while letting opponents recover 3 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 165 1st downs. During this campaign thus far, the Wildcats have thrown for a total of 1,910 passing yards along with holding an average of 212.2 throwing yards per game, ranking them 86th in Division 1. They maintain an average of 141.1 run yards per game and have run for 1,270 yards in total.

Kentucky has conceded a total of 997 rushing yards (110.8 yards per game) in addition to 9 touchdowns rushing this year. They have yielded 13 touchdowns through the air in addition to 236.4 yards/game, which has them sitting 82nd in college football. They have earned 4 fumbles and 8 interceptions for the season. The Wildcats defense has participated in 600 plays, which is 68th in the nation. The Wildcats are conceding 22.3 points per game, which puts them 44th in college football. Overall, they have conceded 201 points.

Who will win tonight's Crimson Tide/Wildcats college football game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Wildcats +9

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