Air Force Falcons vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, 9/22/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs San Jose State Spartans

Date: Friday, September 22, 2023

Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Spartans (+2)

Total/Over-Under: 47.5

The San Jose State Spartans (1-3) are welcoming the Air Force Falcons (3-0) at CEFCU Stadium on Friday, September 22, 2023. San Jose State opens as 2-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 47.5.

The Air Force Falcons head into this matchup 3-0 for this season. In their last contest, the Falcons took on the Utah State Aggies and earned the victory with a final of 39-21. Owen Burk was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 15 carries for 110 yards (7.3 yds per carry). Zachar Larrier went 3/4 with 84 yds through the air. He had a QB rate of 251.4 and walked away from the contest without throwing a pick. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 54 yards on 26 attempts, which is an average of 2.1 yards per run allowed. Air Force conceded 20 pass completions on 35 tries for 248 yards, and a completion percentage of 57.1%. For the game, they had 68 plays which gave them a total of 428 yds. The Air Force Falcons ran the ball a total of 64 different times and tallied 344 yds, earning them an average of 5.4 yards per attempt.

The Falcons have earned 1,155 total yards over the course of this year. When it comes to notching touchdowns, Air Force has earned 1 touchdown through the air and 11 touchdowns via the ground. They have turned the football over 2 times. Air Force has amassed 66 1st downs, and they have been flagged for 10 penalties for 90 yards. As a unit they are averaging 320.7 yards via the ground game ranking this team at 1st in the nation. When talking about putting points on the board, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 31.3 PPG.

The Falcons are sitting in 9th in Division 1 in terms of team defense, allowing 10.3 points per contest. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 1.6 yards per tote and 44.3 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. For the season, they have conceded 133 rushing yards through 3 games. Concerning passing yards, the Falcons are conceding 405 yds which has them sitting in 6th in college football. They are conceding 135.0 yards per contest through the air in addition to conceding a completion percentage of 63.0%. Over the course of this year, they are conceding 179.3 yards per game which ranks them 1st in D-1. They have relinquished 4 touchdowns via the pass as well as 0 touchdowns pounding the rock.

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The Spartans come into this matchup with a record of 1-3 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Spartans took a loss by a score of 21-17 against the Toledo Rockets. Chevan Cordeiro (1 touchdown) ended the game with 228 yards on 24/41 passing while his QB rate was 108.4. He had 1 interception and his average yards per attempt was 5.6. Kairee Robinson carried the ball 14 times for 50 yards, walking away from the game with 3.6 yds per carry for San Jose State. The Spartans finished with 268 yds and they ran 70 plays (3.8 yards per play). San Jose State ran the ball for 1.4 yards per carry, totaling 40 yards on 29 attempts. San Jose State surrendered 36 rush attempts for 229 yds (6.4 yards per rush). The Spartans pass defense allowed a completion percentage of 56.5%, relinquishing 92 yds on 13 out of 23 passing.

The San Jose State Spartans hold an average of 356.0 yards per contest, which has them ranked 89th in D-1. The San Jose State offense has racked up 147 yards of penalties on 18 infractions, which is 57th in the nation in terms of helping out the opposition. They are averaging 140.3 yards per game on the ground and have toted the ball for 561 yards in total. They have given away 1 pick while losing 1 fumbles and they have tallied 85 first downs. Concerning their scoring prowess, the Spartans sit 66th in D-1 with an average of 30.3 points per outing. During this campaign thus far, the Spartans have thrown for a total of 863 yards through the air as well as an average of 215.8 passing yards per outing, which has them sitting 87th in the nation.

The Spartans are allowing 30.5 PPG, which has them ranked 108th in D-1. San Jose State has allowed a total of 680 yards via the ground game (170.0 yards per outing) and 7 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. This season, they have given up 122 total points. They have allowed 8 touchdowns through the air and 195.8 yards per game, which has them in 45th in D-1. The Spartans defense has participated in 248 plays, which ranks 127th in D-1. They have compiled 4 fumbles recovered and 2 interceptions for the season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Spartans college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -2

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