Air Force Falcons vs Sam Houston State Bearkats Prediction, 9/9/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Sam Houston State Bearkats

Date: Saturday, September 9, 2023

Location: NRG Stadium in Houston, TX

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Bearkats (+14)

Total/Over-Under: 37

The Air Force Falcons (1-0) are headed to NRG Stadium on Saturday, September 9, 2023 where they will play the Sam Houston State Bearkats (0-1). Air Force opens this game as 14-point favorites. The over/under is set at 37.

The Air Force Falcons come into this game with a record of 1-0 this season. The last time they took the field, the Falcons faced off with the Robert Morris Colonials and took home the win by a score of 42-7. Zachar Larrier connected on 2/3 with 95 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 442.7 and walked away from the contest with no picks. Zachar Larrier was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 14 totes for 99 yds (7.1 yards per carry). The Air Force Falcons ended up running the ball 56 times and tallied 374 yds, which is an average of 6.7 yds per carry. In the game, they ran 59 plays which totaled 469 yds. Air Force conceded 18 completions on 24 tries for 113 yds, and a completion percentage of 75.0%. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons conceded 43 yards on 26 tries, which is 1.7 yds per rush allowed.

The Falcons have tallied 469 total yards for the year. In terms of getting in the endzone, Air Force has totaled 1 touchdown through the air and 5 rushing touchdowns. They have turned the ball over 1 time. Air Force has tallied 24 1st downs as a team, and they have committed 2 infractions for 10 yds. As a unit they have an average of 374.0 yards rushing which ranks them 2nd in college football. Concerning getting in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 42.0 points per outing.

In terms of passing yardage, the Falcons are allowing 113 yds which puts them in 16th in D-1. They have yielded 113.0 yards per outing through the air as well as conceding a completion percentage of 75.0%. Overall, they are surrendering 156.0 yards per outing putting them at 5th in D-1. They have granted 1 touchdown through the air and no touchdowns running the ball. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 1.7 yards per running attempt and 43.0 rushing yards per game for the campaign. Overall, they have given up 43 rushing yards through 1 outing. The Falcons are sitting in 16th in Division 1 regarding their opponents scoring, giving up 7.0 points per contest.

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The Bearkats head into this matchup 0-1 for this season. The last time they took the field, the Bearkats took a loss by a score of 14-0 when they played the BYU Cougars. John Gentry ran the ball 8 times for 19 yards, finishing the contest with 2.4 yds per carry for Sam Houston State. Keegan Shoemaker ended the game with 147 yards on 18/33 through the air while his QB rating was 73.8. He had 3 interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 4.5. Sam Houston State conceded 34 running attempts for 112 yards (3.3 yards per carry). The Bearkats passing defense conceded a completion percentage of 60.6%, relinquishing 145 yds on 20 for 33 through the air. The Bearkats finished the game with 185 yds while running 57 plays (3.2 yds per play). Sam Houston State ran for 1.6 yds per attempt, finishing the game with 38 yards on 24 attempts.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Bearkats rank 131st in Division 1 averaging 0.0 points per game. The Sam Houston State Bearkats have an average of 185.0 yards/contest, which has them sitting 128th in the country. The Sam Houston State offense has compiled 47 yds of penalties on 7 violations, which ranks 61st in Division 1 in terms of making mistakes. They have given away 3 interceptions while allowing opponents to recover no fumbles and they have been able to obtain 10 1st downs.

Sam Houston State has given up a total of 112 rushing yards as well as 2 touchdowns by way of the ground game on the campaign. They have surrendered no TDs through the air in addition to 145.0 yards/outing, which has them in 34th in college football. They have tallied no fumbles and no interceptions on the season. The Bearkats defense has taken part in 67 plays, which is 66th in the country. The Bearkats are surrendering 14.0 points per contest, which has them ranked 47th in the country. Over the course of the season, they have relinquished 14 total points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Bearkats college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Falcons -14

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