Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen Prediction, 10/21/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Navy Midshipmen

Date: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Midshipmen (+10)

Total/Over-Under: 38

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is the location where the Navy Midshipmen (3-3) will compete against the Air Force Falcons (6-0) on Saturday, October 21, 2023. Navy opens as 10-point dogs. The total is set at 38.

The Air Force Falcons head into this matchup 6-0 this year. The last time they stepped onto the field, the Falcons went up against the Wyoming Cowboys and notched a win by a score of 34-27. Zachar Larrier connected on 6/9 with 58 yards passing and 1 touchdown. He had a quarterback rate of 157.5 and finished the game without throwing an interception. Zachar Larrier was the best rusher for the Falcons with 20 attempts for 111 yds (5.6 yards per carry). For the game, they tallied 62 plays which converted into 414 yds. The Air Force Falcons ended up rushing 53 times and totaled 356 yards, which is an average of 6.7 yards per carry. In the running game, the Falcons conceded 109 yards on 35 tries, which is 3.1 yards per rush surrendered. Air Force relinquished 15 pass completions on 25 tries for a total of 212 yards, and a completion percentage of 60.0%.

The Falcons have attained 2,473 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Air Force has compiled 4 passing touchdowns and 24 touchdowns on the ground. They have surrendered the football 4 times. Air Force has a total of 137 first downs as a unit, and they have been flagged for 16 penalties for 147 yards. As a team they are averaging 334.2 yards rushing ranking them 1st in the country. When it comes to scoring, the Air Force Falcons are averaging 37.0 points per outing.

The Falcons are ranked 9th in the country regarding team defense, conceding 14.7 points per game. They are giving up 2.8 yards per run and 77.0 rushing yards per game so far this year. Overall, they have given up 462 running yards through 6 games. In terms of passing yards, the Falcons are giving up 978 yds which ranks them 3rd in the country. They are allowing 163.0 yards per contest through the air as well as allowing a completion percentage of 62.0%. In total, they are surrendering 240.0 yards per contest ranking them 3rd in college football. They have given up 8 touchdowns through the air as well as 4 touchdowns running the ball.

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The Midshipmen come into this matchup with a record of 3-3 for this season. When they last played, the Midshipmen went home victorious with a score of 14-0 when they faced the Charlotte 49ers. Alex Tecza carried the rock 6 times for 75 yards, finishing the contest with 12.5 yds per carry for Navy. Braxton Woodson (1 touchdown) finished the contest with 85 yards on 5/14 passing while his QB rate was 110.3. He didn't throw any interceptions and his average yards per pass attempt was 6.1. Navy surrendered 40 rush attempts for 123 yds (3.1 yards per rush). The Midshipmen secondary conceded a completion rate of 39.3%, surrendering 142 yards on 11 out of 28 through the air. The Midshipmen finished the game with 265 yds while running 55 plays (4.8 yds per play). Navy ran the ball for 4.3 yards per attempt, totaling 173 yards on 40 attempts.

Regarding their scoring prowess, the Midshipmen rank 118th in Division 1 holding an average of 20.3 points per game. The Navy Midshipmen are averaging 335.0 yards per contest, ranking them 107th in the nation. The Navy offense has 222 yds of penalties on 30 violations, ranking them 109th in the nation in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 0 interceptions while surrendering 3 fumbles and they have been able to earn 91 1st downs. During this campaign to this point, the Midshipmen currently have a total of 596 yards through the air as well as holding an average of 99.3 throwing yards per outing, ranking them 132nd in D-1. They hold an average of 235.7 yards per game via the ground game and have rushed for 1,414 yards for the season.

Navy has given up a total of 891 rushing yards (148.5 yards per outing) and 9 touchdowns via the rush so far this year. They have given up 9 touchdowns through the air in addition to 226.8 yards per outing, which has them ranked 72nd in D-1. Their defense has earned 8 fumbles and 4 interceptions on the season. The Midshipmen defense has been on the field for 405 plays, which has them sitting 45th in the nation. The Midshipmen are conceding 23.0 PPG, which has them ranked 50th in college football. This season, they have surrendered 138 points in total.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Midshipmen college football game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Falcons -10

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