Air Force Falcons vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 11/11/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Warriors (+20)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Hawaii Warriors (3-7) will go up against the Air Force Falcons (8-1) at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex on Saturday, November 11, 2023. Air Force opens this matchup as 20-point favorites. The over/under is 49.5.

The Air Force Falcons come into this matchup with a record of 8-1 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons faced the Army Black Knights and took a loss by a score of 23-3. Zachar Larrier went 9/22 with 93 yards passing. He had a quarterback rate of 58.2 and ended the contest with 2 picks. Zachar Larrier was the leader on the ground for the Falcons with 20 totes for 45 yds (2.3 yds per carry). When the final whistle blew, they ran 64 plays which gave them a total of 259 yards. The Air Force Falcons ran the rock 40 times and accounted for 155 yards, which had them averaging 3.9 yds per carry. When it came to stopping the run, the Falcons gave up 213 yards on 51 tries, which calculates to 4.2 yards per rush allowed. Air Force allowed 4 pass completions on 9 tries for 40 yards, and a completion rate of 44.4%.

Regarding putting the ball in the endzone, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 30.2 points per game. As a team they have an average of 284.2 yards via the ground game which has them sitting 1st in the nation. The Falcons have earned 3,313 total yards for the season. When it comes to scoring touchdowns, Air Force has earned 6 passing touchdowns and 27 touchdowns on the ground. Air Force has amassed 183 first downs as a unit, and they have been called for 29 infractions for 247 yards. They have given the ball to the opposition 11 times.

In terms of yards through the air, the Falcons are giving up 1,417 yds which has them sitting in 3rd in Division 1. They are giving up 157.4 yards per game via the pass as well as conceding a completion percentage of 60.1%. Over the course of this year, they are allowing 239.6 yards per game which ranks them 3rd in the nation. They have relinquished 10 touchdowns by air as well as 6 touchdowns running the ball. They are giving up 2.7 yards per running attempt and 82.1 rushing yards per game on the year. Over the course of this year, they have allowed 739 running yards through 9 outings. The Falcons sit in 5th in the country when it comes to the opposition scoring, allowing 14.4 points per game.

Get all of our College Football Picks this Week

The Warriors head into this game 3-7 for this season. When they last stepped on the gridiron, the Warriors got the win with a final of 27-14 against the Nevada Wolf Pack. Landon Sims carried the rock 11 times for 65 yds, finishing the game with 5.9 yards per carry for Hawaii. Brayden Schager (2 touchdowns) ended the contest with 203 yards on 21/38 through the air while his QB rating was 117.5. He didn't throw any picks and his average yards per attempt was 5.3. Hawaii relinquished 41 run attempts for 124 yds (3.0 yds per rush). The Warriors pass defense allowed a completion rate of 25.0%, relinquishing 112 yds on 6 out of 24 passing. The Warriors finished the game with a total of 339 yards while running 73 plays (4.6 yards per play). Hawaii rushed the ball for 3.9 yds per attempt, finishing with 136 yds on 35 carries.

The Hawaii Warriors are averaging 344.3 yards per contest, which is good for 98th in the nation. The Hawaii offense has racked up 563 penalty yards on 63 infractions, which ranks 25th in D-1 in terms of helping out the other team. They have an average of 65.0 yards per game via the rush and have run for 650 yards in total. They have thrown 13 picks while losing 8 fumbles and they have been able to tally 190 first downs. When it comes to their scoring prowess, the Warriors are ranking 107th in Division 1 scoring 21.5 points per outing. During the season thus far, the Warriors have thrown for a total of 2,793 passing yards as well as holding an average of 279.3 throwing yards per contest, ranking them 28th in the country.

Hawaii has conceded a total of 1,760 rushing yards (176.0 yards/game) in addition to 21 touchdowns via the rush for the campaign. They have yielded 19 touchdowns through the air and 203.7 yards per game, which has them in 37th in the country. They have compiled 4 fumbles and 3 interceptions so far this year. The Warriors defense has participated in 640 plays, which has them ranked 105th in D-1. The Warriors are conceding 34.0 points per game, which has them ranked 122nd in college football. This year, they have conceded 340 points.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Warriors college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Warriors +20

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here