Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams Prediction, 10/28/2023 College Football Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Colorado State Rams

Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023

Location: Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, CO

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Rams (+9)

Total/Over-Under: 49.5

The Colorado State Rams (3-4) will play the Air Force Falcons (7-0) at Canvas Stadium on Saturday, October 28, 2023. Air Force opens this contest as 9-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 49.5.

The Air Force Falcons head into this matchup 7-0 for this season. In their last game, the Falcons took the field against the Navy Midshipmen and walked away with a win by a score of 17-6. Zachar Larrier went 4/5 with 151 yds through the air and 1 TD. He had a QB rate of 399.7 and finished the contest without throwing a pick. Emmanuel Michel was the rushing leader for the Falcons with 22 attempts for 69 yds (3.1 yards per carry). The Air Force Falcons ran the ball a total of 48 times and accrued 137 yards, which came out to an average of 2.9 yds per attempt. In all, they tallied 53 plays which converted into 288 yds. Air Force surrendered 15 completions on 29 tries for a total of 102 yards, and a completion rate of 51.7%. Against the run, the Falcons gave up 22 yards on 35 attempts, which calculates to 0.6 yds per run allowed.

When it comes to putting points on the board, the Air Force Falcons have an average of 34.1 PPG. As a team they're averaging 306.0 yards in the run game ranking this team at 1st in Division 1. The Falcons have earned 2,761 yards in total this season. When it comes to getting the ball in the endzone, Air Force has earned 5 touchdowns via the pass and 24 touchdowns via the ground. Air Force has tallied 146 first downs, and they have been hurt by 21 infractions for 177 yds. They have turned the football over 5 different times.

Concerning yards via the pass, the Falcons have given up 1,080 yds which puts them in 2nd in the nation. They have relinquished 154.3 yards per contest via the pass and allowed a completion percentage of 60.3%. For the season, they are granting 223.4 yards/game which has them ranked 2nd in the country. They have yielded 9 touchdowns by air in addition to 4 touchdowns via the ground game. They are allowing teams to run for an average of 2.4 yards per rush and 69.1 yards on the ground per game on the campaign. In total, they have given up 484 rushing yards through 7 outings. The Falcons sit in 4th in D-1 regarding team defense, allowing 13.4 points per game.

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The Rams step onto the field holding a record of 3-4 for this season. In their last game, the Rams took a loss by a final score of 25-23 when they played the UNLV Runnin' Rebels. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (1 TD) ended the contest with 235 yds on 21/32 passing while his QB rate was 137.6. He kept the ball away from the defense with no picks and his average yards per attempt was 7.3. Vann Schield carried the ball 11 times for 90 yards, ending the contest with 8.2 yds per attempt for Colorado State. Colorado State ran the ball for 4.4 yards per carry, finishing the game with 137 yds on 31 carries. The Rams finished the contest with 372 yds while running 64 plays (5.8 yards per play). The Rams pass defense gave up a completion rate of 75.0%, relinquishing 353 yards on 27 out of 36 passing. Colorado State allowed 46 rushing attempts for 138 yds (3.0 yards per rush).

In terms of their scoring prowess, the Rams are sitting 54th in the country averaging 29.9 points per game. The Colorado State Rams maintain an average of 415.0 yards per outing, which is good for 51st in the nation. The Colorado State offense has racked up 551 penalty yds on 63 infractions, ranking them 6th in college football in terms of making mistakes. They have tossed 13 interceptions while surrendering 4 fumbles and they have been able to obtain 145 1st downs. During the season so far, the Rams have thrown for a total of 2,355 passing yards not to mention an average of 336.4 passing yards per game, which has them sitting 6th in the nation. They have an average of 78.6 rushing yards per game and have run for 550 yards for the season.

The Rams are giving up 33.6 points per game, which has them sitting 119th in the nation. Colorado State has conceded a total of 1,111 yards on the ground (158.7 yards per outing) and 10 touchdowns rushing for the season. This season, they have given up 235 points in total. They have yielded 15 touchdowns from the passing game as well as 308.0 yards per outing, which has them ranked 131st in the nation. The Rams defense has taken part in 544 plays, which ranks them 117th in Division 1. Their defense has 10 fumbles and 6 interceptions so far this season.

Who will win tonight's Falcons/Rams college football game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Rams +9

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